Update: Hillary's Plan

Hillary's plan is out. As I discussed in the post below, it does require all Americans to buy insurance, but it also mandates that insurers must offer insurance to everyone, regardless of whether they are healthy or sick:

"End to Unfair Health Insurance Discrimination: By creating a level-playing field of insurance rules across states and markets, the plan ensures that no American is denied coverage, refused renewal, unfairly priced out of the market, or forced to pay excessive insurance company premiums"

Moreover, the plan guarantees that working families will receive a refundable tax credit designed to prevent premiums from exceeding a percentage of family income.

Clinton doesn't specify the percentage, but she does seem to understand that if the government is going to mandate that everyone buy insurance, it must be affordable.

The Clinton plan emphasizes choices: Americans can a) keep the insurance they have now, b) buy a new plan from a for-profit insurer, c) pick a plan from the same menu of quality private insurance options that their Members of Congress receive through a new Health Choices Menu, OR d) choose a public plan option similar to Medicare.

This is the exceiting news: under Clinton's plan Medicare would be competing with for-profit insurers.

Now we will see whether Medicare can offer better higher quality coverage for less. (My guess is that the answer is yes.)

For profit insurers won't be able to "cheat" by sellling "Swiss Cheese" plans (filled with holes in the coverage): "The new array of choices offered in the Menu will provide benefits at least as good as the typical plan offered to Members of Congress, which includes mental health parity and usually dental coverage." (Clinton also says that she would fill the holes in Medicaid and Schip. )

When it comes to reining in costs, drug companies are expected to do their part by offering "fair prices and accurate information." I doubt that Clinton expects drugmakers to voluntarily reduce prices. Recently, she has talked about having an unbiased government institute compare the "effectivness" of various drugs and treatments--something that drugmakers have long resisted. Presumably such testing would be used to weed out over-priced drugs that are no better than less expensive competitors. (Clinton understands that, in some cases, the more expensive product may be more effective for a few patients who, for one reason or another, are not helped by the less expensive rival. All "comparative effectiveness" proposals take that into account.)

Employers also will contribute to the plan: "Employers: will help financing the system; large employers will be expected to provide health insurance or contribute to the cost of coverage: small businesses will receive a tax credit to continue or begin to offer coverage."

To ensure quality at an affordable price, Clinton expects health care providers to become more efficient: "Over half the savings [in this plan will] come from the public savings generated from Senator Clinton’s broader agenda to modernize the heath systems and reduce wasteful health spending."

Past speeches suggest that by "modernization" Clinton is talking about introducing more healthcare technology. Electronic medical records can reduce redundant tests and drug mix-ups while also provide a database that allows physicians to assess which treatments work best.

When it comes to wasteful healthcare spending, the work done at Dartmouth by Dr. Jack Wennberg and Dr. Elliot Fisher does the best job of exposing how much money we spend on unnecesary, unproven, and sometimes unwanted treatments and hospitalizations. (I have written about their research here http://dartmed.dartmouth.edu/spring07/html/atlas.phpT

Their work shows that Medicare spends twice as much per patient in some parts of the country than in others (after adjusting for age, sex and race as well as differences in local prices.) Yet in regions where Medcare spends more, outcomes are no better--and often they are worse. (Unncessary hospital stays, for example, can be hazardous to your heatlh).

Why do patients receive more care in some places? Wennberg's research suggests two reasons: First in areas where there are more specialists and more hospital beds, patients wind up seeing more specialists and spending more time in the hosptal. In other words,"build the beds and they will come." Secondly, often regional variations in care are based on local custom, particuarly when it comes to elective surgery like knee replacements. In some areas, doctors are more likely to recommend physical therapy; in other cities they favor replacing the knee.

Last week, I was at Dartmouth interviewing Dr. Jack Wennberg, and he confirmed what Clinton's speeches have suggested: she is very famliar with all of his work and understands it in detail. Clinton visited Dartmouth a couple of weeks ago and had a long talk with Wennberg. So when she talks about reducing waste, I'm quite certain that is talking about curbing overtreatment while protecting quality. Wennberg's work shows that efficiency and high quality go together:hospitals that have the best outcomes and the best patient satisfaction tend to be hospitals like the Mayo Clinic, that avoid overtreatment. In fact, the Dartmouth Reserach shows that the Mayo Clinic patients treats suffering from chronic diseases with half the number of doctors that UCLA hospital uses when treating very similar patients. More care is not necessarily better care, and it's clear that Clinton understands this.

Finally, her plan emphasizes that providers s"will work collaboratively with patients and businesses to deliver high-quality, affordable care.." Here she is talking about "shared decision-making"--a process that Dartmouth has pioneered and that Clinton praised in a speech that she gave during her recent trip to Dartmouth. "Shared decision-making" means that, when it comes to elective surgery, the patient is actively involved in choosing what treatment to puruse. The goal is not to cut costs, but evidence shows that when patients are given a full chance to consider their choices 20% to 30% will decide not to have surgery. (In general, surgeons are more enthusiastic about surgery than patients are.)

I'll write more about "shared decision making" here and on my blog (www.healthbeatblog.org) but suffice to say that Hillary's plan is impressive because she has such a clear, in-depth vision of how we can rein in health care inflation while improving the quality of care.

I should add that, in many ways, Edwards plan is similar--which is good news for the future of healthcare.



Comments (181)

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Hillary’s Health Insurance Could Stop Employer Options

It seems Hillary’s plan would require everyone to have health insurance of some form, like several States require you to have car insurance coverage before being allowed to drive your car.

You can choose from any of the plans currently offered to congressional members or you can choose a public plan like Medicare or you can keep the plan you are currently on. That doesn't sound too bad huh?

However, I also noted on Hillary’s website that her health care plan offers tax credits to small businesses for offering health care insurance to their workers. I have a question about this offer.

If everyone is required to have health insurance and they have ‘other’ options like the congressional plans, Medicare or a private insurer that must offer a plan to anyone that wants one, why on earth would a small business or a big business even bother offering health insurance to their workers?

I’m afraid what will end up happening is, all businesses will drop their health insurance plans telling their employees to look elsewhere.

In other words, those of us currently getting group insurance from our employers will end up being forced to go to one of the other options, saving businesses millions of dollars.

I'm sure most businesses will approve of this plan created by Hillary.

Not sure I go for this one Hillary.


Coonsey's View

HTTP://WWW.FREEWEBS.COM/COONSEY/

"I’m afraid what will end up happening is, all businesses will drop their health insurance plans telling their employees to look elsewhere." Sounds like they're being required to "begin or continue to offer coverage." If employees choose another option, it does get them off the hook, but that'd be a sign of the plan's success, no? 

Like Maggie, I'm heartened by the resemblance to Edwards's plan.  If we're building some kind of consensus like this leading up to the election, it'll be that harder to stop once a Democrat is in office.

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

Apropos of surgical versus nonsurgical treatment, I wonder how many patients are aware that new surgical methods are not required to go through any formal approval process. Some procedures do go through randomized clinical trials, although it's admittedly harder to do that than with drugs.

What would be your thought on establishing the efficacy of surgical approaches, with due regard that a surgeon sometimes has to improvise once the patient is opened up. Still, I'm reminded of a little ditty that was the title of a neurosurgeon's autobiography: "When the air hits your brain you're never the same..."

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

  Coonsey,

     The plan doesnt let employers off the hook. The plan says:

l"Large employers will be expected to provide health insurance or contribute to the cost of coverage: small businesses will receive a tax credit to continue or begin to offer coverage."

If large employers don't continue to offer coverage they will  have to Pay INTO A FUND THAT WILL FINANCE ALL OF THE OPTIONS INCLUDING THE  Medicare-like option.  

As for small employers, while the tax credit will help them they will have to offer comprehensive insurance (equal to what Congressmen get) or pay into the fund. Today, many small employers don't offer any insurance--or if they do, they can only afford inexpensive bare-bones insurance. The tax credit will help them buy better insurance, but probably will still wind up spending as much as they do now (if they offer coverage) or more (if they don't now offer coverage.)

 Howard--

    A wonderful ditty. And yes, I think we do need more unbiased reserach establishing the efficacy of varoius surgical methods. Though I would add that what works best for one surgeon may not work as well for another. By and large, you want a surgeon using the method that is most comfortable with--and has used many many times before.

   But when it comes to new procedures, I think we need to look at electronic medical recoreds and check outcomes to see if new methods seem to be working at least as well if not better than older methods.

 Howard--

    A wonderful ditty. And yes, I think we do need more unbiased reserach establishing the efficacy of varoius surgical methods. Though I would add that what works best for one surgeon may not work as well for another. By and large, you want a surgeon using the method that is most comfortable with--and has used many many times before.

   But when it comes to new procedures, I think we need to look at electronic medical recoreds and check outcomes to see if new methods seem to be working at least as well if not better than older methods.

 Howard--

    A wonderful ditty. And yes, I think we do need more unbiased reserach establishing the efficacy of varoius surgical methods. Though I would add that what works best for one surgeon may not work as well for another. By and large, you want a surgeon using the method that is most comfortable with--and has used many many times before.

   But when it comes to new procedures, I think we need to look at electronic medical recoreds and check outcomes to see if new methods seem to be working at least as well if not better than older methods.

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Well, for me, you have apparently inadvertently figured out the little shove towards single payer inherent in the plan.

BTW, your health insurance is part of your salary, that's the way we self-employed have always seen it, now you get to see it that way too. They buy it and deduct it or you buy it and deduct it, what is the difference there? Up until now, the difference has been that they can buy and bargain for a group and you cannot. The only problemo is getting them to give you in money the money they spent on health insurance. And Maggie's reply below says with Hillary's plan that if they don't want to buy it for you they have to put a certain amount of money into a fund for you.

P.S. Do you like the idea of being stuck at a job you don't like because you have a pre-existing condition and cannot change health insurance cos.?

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It seems to me that the big news in Hillarycare is that Hillary had to offer something good so that Edwards could not accuse her of caving to the insurance industry. I do not know all the details of either her or his plan, but it reminds me of his a lot.

I do not have much trust in Hillary because of the way she handled the war in Iraq. If she is elected, I hope she follows through.

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Maggie,

It still seems like the employee loses - employer will likely opt to pay into system - saves on paper/computer work keeping up to date with insurance forms/plans - less ITS work to do.

Coonsey's View

HTTP://WWW.FREEWEBS.COM/COONSEY/

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When it comes to wasteful healthcare spending, the work done at Dartmouth by Dr. Jack Wennberg and Dr. Elliot Fisher does the best job of exposing how much money we spend on unnecesary, unproven, and sometimes unwanted treatments and hospitalizations. (I have written about their research here http://dartmed.dartmouth.edu/spring07/html/atlas.phpT

Maggie Mahar

Thanks for tracking all of this so carefully.

Hillary did pretty well considering her still healing wounds from 93-94.

I would add Dr. Nortin Hadler from University of North Carolina who has also brilliantly explicated how much US health care has been unproven to be effective or even worse safe.Hadlers book The Last Well Person is a true landmark.

And of course Shannon Brownlee's new book Overtreated is excellent validation of its own title.

And what are the details in Hillary's plan on both individual and institutional prevention- my own cost-saving mantra?. So we can free up $ for those who need treatment for non-preventable diseases

I will try to get details on her plans for prevention?

Dr. Rick Lippin
Southampton Pa
http://medicalcrises.blogspot.com

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fyi: Here is a quickie analysis of Hillary's plan from Don McCanne's at Physicians for a National Health Program:

http://pnhp.org/news/quote_of_the_day.php

Hillary Clinton’s proposal “preserves existing health insurance,” and includes the responsibility of individuals “to get and keep insurance” through the current private insurance market, or through a “Health Choices Menu” of private FEHBP-type plans, or through a Medicare-type public program.

Thus her proposal is an individual mandate to purchase private insurance that is no longer affordable for average-income individuals, or to purchase a public plan that will be even more expensive because of adverse selection.

To make the plans affordable for individuals, she would use a combination of refundable tax credits and a cap on premiums at a percentage of income. Assuming that the plans would provide adequate benefits and adequate protection against financial hardship, the increased spending through the tax system would be exponentially more than the estimates in her plan. And most of the proposed savings to pay for these increases are largely nebulous, and some of those measures would actually increase costs.

Further, the administrative complexities of refundable tax credits and means-tested premium caps would still leave many without coverage. Coverage will never be universal unless it is truly automatic for everyone.

If we are going to use the tax system to pay for health care anyway then why should we waste funds on the profoundly inefficient system of segregated private health plans? A universal risk pool that is equitably funded through the tax system is the most efficient and least expensive method of ensuring comprehensive coverage for everyone.

Many will try to contrast the differences in the Clinton, Obama and Edwards proposals, but they are all basically the same. In spite of their rhetoric, they have each made the protection and enhancement of the private insurance plans a higher priority than patients."

I would only disagree with Don insofar as saying that Obama's plan is significantly even less than this, and Edwards a bit less bad. A pleasant surprise that Hillary's is offering something this "bold" and not a surprise that it is more subsidy and support for the private for profit insurers that have given so much to her campaign.

Once again, time to point out that Medicare overhead of 3-4% versus the private for profits overhead of 15-20% is $350 billion not going to health care, but going to an unneeded middleman. Plus further savings by not having the paperwork involved in determining and rejecting eligibility if everyone is eligible, and all the many other reasons single payer is the way to go to provide Universality & Comprhensive coverage & Cost-control.

So, do you think that the insurance industry knows that if they're outcompeted by Medicare that they're dead under this plan? I wonder how they'll try to get members of congress to limit what Medicare can do.

Without such alterations it seems like a good plan. I'd give the private insurers about a decade's worth of life under it, though. They're still kind of driving costs up by dividing the risk pool, though.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

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I'm a bit of a novice when it comes to health care issues (relatively healthy, and I've always been covered by employer health insurance), so I'm approaching this subject at a disadvantage.

A quick glance at the major candidates proposal comes down to HRC/Edwards requiring insurance and offering tax credits to "working" families and Obama having no mandate and working to keep costs down through other measures. So essentially, all the same plan with two requiring coverage by all (sucks for the youth and healthy) and tax credits.

I've always been leary of "tax credits" to offset the costs of a particular item, since a person always incurs the "cost" of the service long before they can claim the credit. So, if I understand it, a person has $10,000 in medical bills in 2007. He or she can claim some credit on his or her 2007 tax bill (in 2008). How does this help the person in 2007 when the monies are due? What if there income is too low in 2007 to qualify for the credit? Wouldn't it be better if the system lowered the premium for those individuals (the rich and upper middle class subsidize the cost)? Or if the Medicare/public piece is supposed to be an equivalent to private insurance, why not automatically enroll them so it is transparent to them (same difference, subsidize the cost)? Is there something I'm missing here?

Yeah, tax credits are a huge problem because they're entirely inflexible and clunky.

The mandates make a certain amount of sense. But you don't need them when you have a federal system where we pay taxes instead of premiums.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

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DrSteveA

While it probably won't happen I am for single payer "Medicare for all" but I would modify HR 676 to include much more individual AND institutional prevention

I wrote to my Congressman Pa Murphy (DEM -PA-8th) on my blog

Be Well,

Dr. Rick Lippin
Southampton,Pa
http://medicalcrises.blogspot.com

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PS - see my letter to my Congressman Pat Murphy(DEM-PA-8th) on my blog

Dr. Rick Lippin

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Howard and Maggie

GOOD FOR YOU!

Surgeons and surgery has definitely gotten a free ride for far too long.

So many surgical procedures are unnecessary and many are downright dangerous. Need I just mention hysterectomy and back surgery as models of abuse?

It's about time we make them accountable!

Dr. Rick Lippin
http://medicalcrises.blogspot.com

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All I know is when I was a child if someone got sick the doctor was called. He came to the house or you went to him. The bill was paid on the spot or within the following month. Same for a hospital stay.

The bills didn't bankrupt the bill payer. The insurance industry wasn't in the health-care business. Since it has been in the health-care business, health care is basically unaffordable for 50 million Americans.

Off the top of my head, keeping the insurance business in the health care business is indefensible.

I agree. Tax credits are a gimic for people who make enough money to need a tax shelter. People who don't pay for professional tax assistance often miss out on the credits entirely not understanding when they do or do not qualify for them. Another pay off to the tax preparation lobby?

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Some under income tax are simply an open realistic acknowledgment of basic human psychology. A poor working person often will reject "government handouts" or take them with shame, but happily receive Earned Income Credit for more tax than he paid. Likewise, donation deductions for rich folk have them at least putting the money back into society rather than hiding it overseas, because it gives them a little power where it goes. A lot of deductions do make work for accountants, but I venture a guess that the great majority of these are in corporate and not income taxes. Keep in mind that one person can create a corporation. Funny (not) there are certain states which are very popular for creating corporations--there is a specific reason: tax avoidance. The shell games between local and federal and personal and corporate taxation are the neverending ones that give accountants much business.

While it was in reference to drugs, I'm reminded of Sir William Osler's comment, IIRC, that the best time to use a drug was while it was still believed to work. Admittedly, there's much more chance a new drug will actually do something today, but the side effects tend to meet his criterion -- not fully understood until Phase IV surveillance. In fairness, some side effects won't show up in any statistically significant way until you deal with the populations after market approval.

While there are a lot of surgical procedures that can get into question, I'm thinking of some of the gyrations about the internal mammary artery. At one point, before CABG was common, someone had the seemingly bright idea that ligating the internal mammary arteries would somehow force blood into the coronary circulation. Didn't work.

When I had my CABG, after reocclusion after two PTCAs (pre-stent, but let's not go there), the grafts were all from the left saphenous vein. I had a very experienced surgeon, who I still respect greatly. Given the usual attitude of cardiothoracic surgeons ("what's the difference between God and a cardiothoracic surgeon? God doesn't think he is one..."), when he learned I was interested in the details and understood them, he spent an hour and a half on the phone with me one preoperative evening, promised to get back after he checked some references, and did.

Anyway, he explained that he was planning to do all the grafts from the saphenous vein, because I was still pretty young, and he expected to get 10 years out of the vein grafts. He wanted to save the left internal mammary artery for the reoperation he expected to do later.

Well, two of the four venous grafts reoccluded in six months. We now know that if the mammary artery is used to start, it rarely occludes, and reoperation probably would not be needed. (certain details skipped).

I can't really say that anyone could have predicted that until there was a large data base for retrospective studies. Still...

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

You are singing to the choir abotu EMR and outcomes research. Well, I suppose I sing baritone when dealing with those, and tenor with my true first love in medical informatics, expert systems to advise on prescribing.

I don't have to be told I was weird for demanding a Merck Index of Chemicals and Drugs for my tenth birthday, but, for me, an attraction to pharmacology began pre-puberty. Girls came later.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

IIRC, you are a little older than I am. Still, I remember house calls and direct payment.

As I was growing up, there were more and more diagnostics and treatments that really did something. Yet, in the sixties, my father was a cardiac cripple and dead at 42. Given similar genetics and early onset of cardiac disease, by the time I had the problems, there were real therapies. I had a birthday a couple of years ago, and I've made it at least 17 years more than my father. I don't think it was only that I'm a nonsmoker.

Developing these techniques, and I fully understand the roles of federal & academic research, overmarketing by pharma, and the like, isn't cheap. In my medical library, I cherish a 1934 book, privately printed, called Modern Office and General Practice. I cherish it because, IIRC, every treatment suggested was, by present standards, either useless or actively dangerous.

The costs are greater now, but the benefits are greater. As Rick Lippin will confirm, the insurance industry also is not incentivized to do cost-effective preventive and chronic disease management. They don't do the former because they see the benefits as devolving to the next insurer, and, with a few exceptions, they tend to avoid the latter under preexisting conditions.

It's for-profit, largely unregulated insurance that is the core of the economic problem. Germany and Japan manage to make multi-payor work with tight regulation of insurers, many of which are nonprofit, and a government safety net. There are more ways to run a social good than by totally centralized federal control.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

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Doesn't this plan by Hillary (as well as other relying on the health insurance industry)ignore the biggest problem the system has which is the enormous profits the insurers are and have been making off this whole thing?

I'm in no way convinced that by simply finding the most effective drugs and so on we have addressed the fundamental problem which is that our health care system costs much, much more because we allow profits to be made by the insurance industry which are totally and completely unjustifiable. I'm not advocating controlling or regulating insurance company profits---I'm talking about elminating them entirely and the needless levels of executive, marketing and other expenses that are not required if you arent engaged in for profit insurance.

Likewise, could we not be saving billions annually by simply banning the advertising of prescription drugs to patients? It is completely appalling to see the escalation in these marketing efforts the past few years. the airwaves are saturated with such ads that seek to creat new markets by selling drugs to patients in the hope they will ask their doctor if they can try it. It's only point is to hike profits for drug companies in an increasingly competitive atmosphere in an era when they are not making the number of breakthrough pharmaceutical discovoeries they had gotten used to.

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"P.S. Do you like the idea of being stuck at a job you don't like because you have a pre-existing condition and cannot change health insurance cos.?"

What state you live in?
I don't think this is the case for most states
where you can switch job and take all your -pre-existing conditions with you to a new insurance.

One thing that needs to be noted: we do have to buy automobile insurance in order to drive our car, or even to register it. If that isn't acceptable to us, we don't have to drive. But, if having to buy health care insurance isn't acceptable to me, what do I do - die? It isn't logical to compare the two kinds of insurance.

Also, automobile insurance really is insurance. It pays for you if you have a totally unexpected accident, hurt or kill someone in that accident, or get harmed in other ways by that accident. Health care "insurance" isn't comparable. Either we die young when healthy (drive by shooting?), or we face medical bills, which will be ruinous if we actually have to pay them. So, health care insurance is a level payment plan, where all of us start paying for all of our health care long before any one of us needs it. Different animal entirely.

If I am going to participate in such a level payment plan, lumping my health care costs with everyone else, one thing I absolutely don't want to do is pay a business a big chunk of those payments just for the privilege of being in the group. This must be a not-for-profit operation except for the actual health care providers, and as long as "insurance" companies are skimming the cream off the top we are being scammed!

Hoppy in Sacramento

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It's obvious that the only rational way to achieve a workable, affordable system is to get private insurers out of the picture or, as in countries like Germany, regulate them so heavily in the people they must insure, the coverage they must offer and the rates they can charge that they become de facto quasi public entities like utilities.

The bright spot in Hillary's plan, as in Edwards', is the "public plan option similar to Medicare." Ms. Mahar is right in that private insurers will have a difficult time competing in that atmosphere and very likely will gravitate to insuring only those who want and can afford options beyond the basic but adequate coverage offered by the public plan. That's fine with me. You want a private room with a gold plated bedpan and can afford it, great. Most everyone else will end up being covered by the medicare-like plan, which will be the rough equivalent of single payer.

Given the political power of the insurance industry this may well be the only road we have to get to an essentially single payer (with some other options) solution but it's a start. It will take some time for the private insurers to realize they can't compete and whither away or change their business models but in this environment we seem to have no choice.

As noted by others, the publicly financed medicare like plan option is the essential ingredient in this plan. Without it, it's just a full employment scheme for insurers.

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kj_593, if I don't misunderstand your point, then you are missing something.

The tax credit, etc. is on the insurance, the premium paid to be insured, not the amount owed for service bought which falls under the insurance.

I'm wondering what co-pays etc. are or will be built into the various parts of the system to control the ever-rising costs and to "discourage" "overuse" as insurance companies push to increase their profits.

Logically we should just move to an adequate level of coverage for everyone, paid for through taxes, and let those who can afford it, as they do now, pay private insurance for super-coverage.

I definitely think that the universal coverage should be exactly that provided to our government representarives and their families. No more and certainly no less.

I'm sitting here now with a tooth that needs to be crowned. I'm deferring the crown because I've already spent my FSA money for the year. Darn, but it's hard to guess how much health care you are going to need in advance! This is not wise. The tooth may not be worth saving by January.

If you are faced with making the mortgage payment or buying the health insurance, a future tax credit doesn't do you any good. The goal should be to have everyone covered every day.

My complaint with so many of these proposals and so much of the discussion is that we always lose sight of the goal -- health CARE. Instead, we inevitably fall into arguments over financial instruments - insurance, tax credits, tax savings accounts, employer taxes, employer paid fringe....

Some have posted on concerns about preventive care. I agree and I think we'd get further down that road if we could focus people on HEALTH.

Instead, we'll be off selling tax credits and insurance. And I won't get my tooth crowned because I've been sold the idea that I can get a tax break if I wait till January.

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>>>>This is the exceiting news: under Clinton's plan Medicare would be competing with for-profit insurers.

Yes - this is the exciting part about Edwards' plan that Hillary copied. After 15 years of nuttin - and a campaign focused on gimmicks and videos - she copied Edwards' plan. LOL

But the BIG difference in the 2 plans is that Hillary is already compromised by donations from DC lobbyists and the Insurance and Pharma industries BEFORE beginning her term - while Edwards is not.

Also - we need a Democratic president to restore America's moral authority in the White House - John Edwards.

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I assume that insurers would still have deductibles and co-pays of some sort, plus a monthly premium. My question is if the plan is to subsidize part of the cost (premium and or co-pays), then why not subsidize them on the front-end? A tax credit requires the insured to bear the cost of the insurance up front, which would create a barrier to entry.

The whole idea of universal health care is that it is better for a nation if everyone is somehow covered.  Even if you're young and healthy you can find yourself having an accident or suddenly ill because you caught an awful infection.  Just suppose a young person has cancer or a chronic illness, but they thought they would never be ill.  Well, it's better for all of us that you are somehow covered, so that in your need you know you can always get care, no matter how much of it is needed.

It is simply inefficient, not to say unethical, for us to assume that some need no care.  The young need that safety net just as much as the old.  And all of us benefit from knowing that care is there, should the unexpected occur, even to you - someone currently young and well.

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you are correct -- group plans have NO PRE-EX. Individual plans DO have pre-ex and are impossible to get for about 25% of applicants. So, Hillary will have to force someone to offer individual plans to diabetics and heart patients. Unless you've got the bottomless bank account of a Medicare plan behind you, I'm not sure which private insurer is going to take on this risk.

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Isn't this plan the same one Romney put into MA? It's got all the same central tenants, plus the mandatory blanket coverage.

Okay, so if we want to know if this idea works or not -- just watch what happens to health care in MA.

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I certainly agree Hoppy and would add one thing which is that in states where some minimum auto insurance is required (which I think is now most if not all states)the poor routinely are either uninsured or underinsured. In other words they either drive illegally or drive with the cheapest available policy (often liability alone)thus not really achieving the goal of the law.

Thus, once again, those who are most in need of the assistance insurance can provide are the people least likely to be fully covered. Whether the lack of insurance is because someone made a poor/unwise choice to be uninsured or they just flat out didn't have the cash it is a costly situation not just for them but for everyone. So even that system doesn't work in a universal manner. Unless and until there is universal healthcare provided to the citizenry we will all continue to suffer with a burdensome system that costs too much and doesn't meet the medical needs of the population just as the needs of the driving population are not met with mandatory auto insurance laws.

It is over optimistic to assume that private insurance companies would compete by providing "gold plated bedpans". What they would do is cover all medical costs, thus being more expensive and those able to would buy that. And/or they would provide "healthy people" policies, with very limited coverage, at very low price, which young people would buy. That leaves the government plan to cover those who really need health care coverage, but who can't possibly pay the actual cost - welfare, in other words. Very, very soon that coverage would shrink as "welfare reform" again takes center stage. It just won't work.

Hoppy in Sacramento

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Not sure how that would be done, but an excellent question.

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hoppy wrote: "...And/or they would provide "healthy people" policies, with very limited coverage, at very low price, which young people would buy. That leaves the government plan to cover those who really need health care coverage, but who can't possibly pay the actual cost - welfare, in other words. Very, very soon that coverage would shrink as "welfare reform" again takes center stage. It just won't work."

Excellent point/question. Maggie and others with expertise, would you please address this?

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hoppy, you wrote: "If I am going to participate in such a level payment plan, lumping my health care costs with everyone else, one thing I absolutely don't want to do is pay a business a big chunk of those payments just for the privilege of being in the group. This must be a not-for-profit operation except for the actual health care providers, and as long as "insurance" companies are skimming the cream off the top we are being scammed!"

Yes, exactly. Which leaves me a little confused about your proposal in Maggie's earlier thread to allow private insurance companies to bid on doing the administration and other paperwork that would be wholly regulated by the government(which I may have misunderstood earlier). There, you wrote:

"There is a way to have single payer health care and still not cost all of those insurance companies their business. That is for the federal government to set up health care districts throughout the country, say a dozen total districts. Then let the health care insurance companies bid to do the paperwork, office work, filing, etc. that goes with such a business. Each district would have the low bidder insurance company as the operating entity, but the financial part would all be by the federal government. Now, all of those clerks who would otherwise lose their jobs will still be employed, but the stock holders would be totally bummed out over the drop in value of their stock. Boo hoo." (end quote)

Competing for the contract should serve to keep that cost down. But if it's a private company, doesn't that be definition it means it is for profit, and therefore, if it is a company of large size, under pressure to provide dividends to shareholders or otherwise divert costs from what is required solely to do the administration they are hired to do?

This is why the folks administering single payer plans should be employees of the federal government (or perhaps of some nonprofit organization, but wouldn't the potential lack of stability in such an arrangement be a fatal drawback?) Same argument holds, it seems to me, for why airport security folks should be government instead of private-sector employees. I thought artappraiser was getting at this same point in Maggie's other thread as well.

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Yes--Maggie and others--why won't the insurance companies, seeing the handwriting on the wall, simply fight this plan just as hard as they would fight a single-payer proposal?

I suppose one possible answer is that it's better to lose your job in 10 years than in 2 years, particularly if you're due to retire in 2-10 years. But all the same the institutional vested interest and the lobby representing it remain.

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My political observation is that seeing Clinton try to co-opt the health care issue he wanted to make his explains Edwards' lashing out at her yesterday while also noting that imitation is the highest form of flattery. One of the reasons I wanted him to push a straight out single-payer proposal. I didn't think there was any chance Hillary would do that.

He and his supporters can point to all the campaign contributions Hillary gets from insurers and other health care interests. But, for all that, the burden now shifts to him to show what his greater independence on health care interest group contributions might get the public if he wins.

The Clintons' theory of campaign finance clearly seems to me to be twofold:

i) getting public financing done requires a great deal of political capital, with no certainty of it leading to better policy results that improve peoples' lives. (true, in my view, which is why it's a bad issue to focus on as a new Administration's first priority, I think)

ii) if you take campaign contributions from everyone you have just as much freedom to do what you want as if you take it from no one (incorrect, because many of the people affected by policy decisions do not have powerful lobbies able to contribute big money to campaigns and have representatives at the table when the decisions are made and the deals get cut. But a very convenient practice for improving one's chances of winning when most unorganized voters are not participating and have no faith any of the candidates will really speak for them in the closed rooms where the decisions get made.)

Edwards has been pushing Hillary and Obama on Iraq. Obama's people surely want him out early with the hope that if he can pick up most of Edwards' support he'd have a chance against, presumably, Hillary. It will be interesting to see if Edwards has a response on this latest development on the health care issue. Obama, too, as Hillary now has positioned herself to Obama's "left" on health care during Dem primary season.

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Re: Unless you've got the bottomless bank account of a Medicare plan behind you, I'm not sure which private insurer is going to take on this risk.

Insurers already take on that risk when they insure such people under group plans (which is a how most people are covered now).
Also, the HIPAA law in national and mandates that no one can be refused coverage when changing jobs.

This is just great. As a self-employed American, I already can't afford health insurance, and now some clueless, filthy-rich bimbo with NO CONCEPT of what it's like to struggle to make the rent wants to FORCE me to come up with money I already don't have? Just fucking great.

Screw her. If this is her plan, I'll oppose it (and her) with everything I've got. I'll vote Republican before I'll support this.

If she wants to fix health care, she should fix it. Making it MY problem by forcing me to pay for something I already cannot afford is not fixing anything. Let's watch her poll numbers. I suspect this plan is going to be enormously unpopular.

"I'm heartened by the resemblance to Edwards's plan."

I'm guessing Hillary's poll numbers will soon resemble Edwards' as well. Americans do not want mandated health insurance. Forcing people to pay for health insurance is not the "fix" we've looking for. This is a lousy solution.

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This is why I find myself asking why we don't have younger people in an "insurance" plan that is really a savings plan, whose purpose is to pack away the "insurance" money for a rainy day.

When I was young, my employers and I paid into pay-as-you-go plans, and the essentially zero requirements I had for health services were completely covered.

Later on, with a few (thankfully very minor) difficulties of age, I actually need health services, and now that I am no longer easily employed, I pay much higher fees for insurance out of a far far smaller income.

For the second time in my life, I wish I could go back to my own history and make a suggestion to that younger guy: "start saving NOW. Once you get to 50 or so, the deal will change, all the money that was poured into the system due to your economic activity will be totally gone and you'll be on your own.

That change in plans is what really gets my goat: It was all great paying into the system when I didn't need it, but now it's way more expensive exactly when my ability to pay into it is compromised.

So I haven't heard about the idea of "enforced" packing it away by young people, so they have something to rely on when they are no longer young.

This addresses the arguments I've seen from people who do not want to pay into "the system" because they are healthy and don't want to pay for others' bad choices. Health insurance could be much like a competently managed social security system: Contribute to the pool, and have a cushion for a time when it's needed either due to premature need (disability) or to natural progression of time (retirement).

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3% of Americans under 65 have health care costs annually exceeding $ 30,000.

This is an important statistic. It clearly proves the lion's share of rising medical costs are driven by a minority of very sick individuals.

So, if the government were to focus on the $ 30,000 threshold and begin to pick up costs above that -- it seems to me that would be a much smarter way to drive down costs than creating these regional pools, tax breaks, and other gimmicks that will essentially do nothing to lower costs.

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Moreover, the plan guarantees that working families will receive a refundable tax credit designed to prevent premiums from exceeding a percentage of family income.

What part of this don't folks like Hillary and Edwards understand? If the poor could afford to buy health insurance, they wouldn't need these plans! For heavens sake, I can't afford to insure my kids on the WalMart plan now. Does a "tax credit" in April every year somehow help me pay it next week?

Tax credits are an absolute joke!!!!!!!!!!! They don't help me insure my children. Not now. Not ever.

If I could pay for the insurance, I wouldn't need a tax credit.

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When a life flight less than 30 miles costs $7,000.00, you need to bring down that cost for everyone. Because that auto accident, which happens to "not sick" people, you will be paying that 7K.

None of these plans address the major problem - the cost of heathcare is obscene. Not the insurance, the cost of the product being delivered - and delivered poorly.

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Before you have an exclamation-point-induced heart attack, I believe Hillary's plan, like any reasonable one, insures that everyone has health coverage, including those for whom a tax credit is meaningless (like, say, the unemployed) whether they contribute or not.
Take a deep breath. Read more carefully. It says "working families" get credits to keep a lid on premiums. "Non-working families" and "children" are covered elsewhere in the plan.

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Those who talk about private insurance companies competing with a government run system, talk about “comprehensive coverage” and “a level playing field”. By that I think that they mean that a minimum level of coverage would be required of all policies, thus making it illegal for private companies to offer low cost, catastrophic only coverage. If the level of comprehensive coverage is set high enough, it would make it difficult for private companies to differentiate themselves by product offerings but would need to compete only on the efficiency of delivering a commodity product defined by the government.

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If you can't afford to pay for insurance, you will get a subsidy or there will be price controls on premiums. But, you know that don't you?

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You are pointing out the problem with having health insurance paid by employers. If people could buy a long term policy when they are young, they would be effectively paying for the statistical probability of needing expensive health care all through their life. Unfortunately, now they effectively loose everything they have contributed when they change employers.

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I think offering such policies would be made illegal.

I'm guessing that he does know that but would put forward three objections:

1) That the threshold for subsidies or assistance would be too low.

2) That even if the government paid say, half his costs, paying the other half would be too much.

3) He doesn't want the government telling him what he has to buy.

Obviously, I'm speaking for him and he might agree with none of that, but those are probably three legitimate concerns.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

There are actually only 5 states where they can't refuse to cover you--or charge an exorbitant amount if you have a pre-existing condition. New York is one of them. Massachusetts is also one of the tive, but in Massachusetts, while insurers can't take pre-existing conditions into account they can charge you twice is much if you are over a certain age.

I work about this on a post on my blog www.healthbeatblog.com under the heading "If We Mandate Insurance Should Twenty-Somethings Pay Less?"

 

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Here's the part you just don't seem to get:

I can't afford to pay insurance premiums. Not at any price. Every penny is used to pay for necessities - you know, like rent, food, heat.

A once a year "tax credit" still won't let me pay for that insurance which Hillary is suggesting should be mandatory!

We currently pay $80.00/month for employer sponsored health care for my husband - just to pay for the medications he needs to keep him alive.

That $80.00/month will pay 2 natural gas bills I have sitting on my desk right now.

Do you have to make those kinds of choices on a daily basis?

Brook-- Hillary won't have to force an insurer to offer plans to diabetics. IF they want to be in the health insurance market at all, they will have to offer coverage to all comers--no matter how sick they are--andat the same price that they charge people who are not sick. Everyone in the same community, well or sick, will be charged the same price.

This is now the law in 5 states--including New York State. It has caused some insurance companies to stop selling policies in New York and if Hillary's plan were enacted, I suspect a number of insurance companies who have made their money by "cherry-picking"--and only insuring healthy people--will just drop out of the busines.

Meanwhile, more and more Americans are likely to pick the public-sector Medicare-like option which will offer the same coverage that members of Congress get. 

Basically, her plan gives us a back door to single-payer.

repeats above

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no one can be refused coverage when changing jobs.

Sure they can, if the new employer they'd like to consider doesn't offer coverage to anyone. We could, of course, just not allow people to hire anyone to help their start-up business until they have enough money to hire enough people to form a group to compete in the current health insurance market.

Ammasdarling and Coonsey--

First, I agree with you Ammadarling, Hillary's vote on Iraq makes me very  uneasy. But she wasn't the only one. So many supposedly intelligent progressive Congressmen voted for the war. Bush had done such a good job of convincing the American people that they were in imminent danger of being attacked by terrorists, and that Iraq was somehow tied to the 9/11 bombing.  (Everytime I go through an airport and am forced to take my shoes off, I feel I'm being subjected to Bush's brainwashing. He wants us to feel that we are in constant danger.)

Bottom-line I don't give Hillary a pass on Iraq. And when I compare her to Edwards, I really don't have a favorite. His health care plan is similiar to hers, and I very much like his emphasis on poverty.

Coonsey--

Employees don't lose if employers save on paperwork. The fact that someone else saves money doesn't mean that they have taken something away from you.

And I'd just as soon see most employers get out of the healthcare business. Most don't know enough about heatlhcare to pick good plans. (I don't blame them--this isn't their business.) And most are more interested in finding a plan that will give them a good discount than in finding a plan that will ensure high quality care.

Hillary's plan insists that all insurance policies must provide coverage that is at least as could as what Congressmen now receive.

 

 

Ammasdarling and Coonsey--

First, I agree with you Ammadarling, Hillary's vote on Iraq makes me very  uneasy. But she wasn't the only one. So many supposedly intelligent progressive Congressmen voted for the war. Bush had done such a good job of convincing the American people that they were in imminent danger of being attacked by terrorists, and that Iraq was somehow tied to the 9/11 bombing.  (Everytime I go through an airport and am forced to take my shoes off, I feel I'm being subjected to Bush's brainwashing. He wants us to feel that we are in constant danger.)

Bottom-line I don't give Hillary a pass on Iraq. And when I compare her to Edwards, I really don't have a favorite. His health care plan is similiar to hers, and I very much like his emphasis on poverty.

Coonsey--

Employees don't lose if employers save on paperwork. The fact that someone else saves money doesn't mean that they have taken something away from you.

And I'd just as soon see most employers get out of the healthcare business. Most don't know enough about heatlhcare to pick good plans. (I don't blame them--this isn't their business.) And most are more interested in finding a plan that will give them a good discount than in finding a plan that will ensure high quality care.

Hillary's plan insists that all insurance policies must provide coverage that is at least as could as what Congressmen now receive.

 

 

Ammasdarling and Coonsey--

First, I agree with you Ammadarling, Hillary's vote on Iraq makes me very  uneasy. But she wasn't the only one. So many supposedly intelligent progressive Congressmen voted for the war. Bush had done such a good job of convincing the American people that they were in imminent danger of being attacked by terrorists, and that Iraq was somehow tied to the 9/11 bombing.  (Everytime I go through an airport and am forced to take my shoes off, I feel I'm being subjected to Bush's brainwashing. He wants us to feel that we are in constant danger.)

Bottom-line I don't give Hillary a pass on Iraq. And when I compare her to Edwards, I really don't have a favorite. His health care plan is similiar to hers, and I very much like his emphasis on poverty.

Coonsey--

Employees don't lose if employers save on paperwork. The fact that someone else saves money doesn't mean that they have taken something away from you.

And I'd just as soon see most employers get out of the healthcare business. Most don't know enough about heatlhcare to pick good plans. (I don't blame them--this isn't their business.) And most are more interested in finding a plan that will give them a good discount than in finding a plan that will ensure high quality care.

Hillary's plan insists that all insurance policies must provide coverage that is at least as could as what Congressmen now receive.

 

 

drricklippin-- Yes, The Last Well Person is an excellent book. I recommend it to everyone. (Haven't read Brownlee's book)

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Agreed. Tax credits are about the suckiest way to pay for anything, especially a necessity.

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If medicare has a 2 to 3 percent overhead and administrative cost, and private insurers have an 18 to 30 percent cost there is no way that they would be able to compete, given that they would be required to offer equivalent coverages. Medicare has no shareholders demanding a dividend, hence a profit from operations, no extensive advertising cost to attract business and no bloated executive salaries. Because they are not in the business of denying benefits as private insurers are they also need less documentation and hence a less bloated bureaucracy. It is inherently more efficient.

That's the "backdoor" Ms. Mahar talks about.

DrSTeveA--

   I'm afraid that the PNHP analysis is terribly misleading. I know so many doctors who have dropped out of their organization because they are such ideologues--with only one idea, their plan.

    I, too, am in favor of single-payer. But the fact is that there are not enough Congressmen in favor of it and there are not enough American citizens in favor of it.  Americans are very way of government involvement in anything. (And given what has been going on for the last 7 years, how can you blame them.) I like single-payer. You like single-payer. But we can't shove it down the American public's throat. And if we try, we might lose health care reform altogether. We could even wind up with another TV star in the White House.

But-- HILLARY"S PLAN OFFERS A VERY INTELLIGENT BACK DOOR TO SINGLE PAYER AND IT PUTS FOR-PROFIT INSURERS IN AN IMPOSSIBLE POSITION.

Don of PNHP suggests that the public sector plan will be very expensive because of adverse selection (with all of the old and sick people who have high medical bills choossing that plan) while the private sector plan takes all of the young and healthy people.

Did he not read Hillary's plan? Or is he deliberately lying? (I hope it's the former)

Her plan very explicitly says that for-profit insurers will not be able to turn down sick people or charge them higher premiums because they are sick or are expected to become sick. Moreover, her plan says that all insurers will have to offer the same comprehensive insurance that Congresmen have. If I were sick, that is the coverage that I would want.

Right now, for-profit insuers are allowed to "cherry-pick" health customers, turning down people with pre-existing conditions --or charging them exorbitant premiums--in all but five states. This is how the majority of insurers make their money. They also make money by selling essentially worthless Swiss cheese policies filled with holes.

Hillary's plan won't let them do either of these things. How then will they stay in business?

Under her plan is no way that private insurers will wind up with the healthy young people while the public sector Medicare- like plan is filled with the sick people. I don't know how many different ways I can say this: her plan outlaws cherry-picking by private insurers.

Both the for-profit private sector insurance plans and the public-sector Medicare-llike plan will have to offer insurance to all comers, without penalizing those who are sick, and they will have to offer the same comprehensive insurance to everyone.. What then will be the difference between the for-profit plans and the public sector Medicare-like plan?  

The Medicare-like plan will probably cost less because Medicare doesn't have the high administrative costs (advertising, the need to distribute profits to share-holders, 7-figure executive salaries, etc.)

So both health people and sick people are likely to choose the Medicare-like plan. Meanwhile, many for-profit insurers will simply drop out of the competition. If they can't "cherry-pick" healthy patients, they won't be able to compete.

What does this leave us with? After a few years probably the vast majority of Americans will be in the public-sector Medicare like plan BY THERE OWN CHOICE. Inother words, they will be in a single-payer system where the payer is the government (funded by employers, wealthier tax payers and middle-class taxpayers who will pay no more than a certain percentage of their income toward healthcare premiums.) .

Hillary is also counting on the savings generated by  an independent Comparative Effectiveness Institute which will weed out over-priced ineffective treatments, drugs and devices. These savings are not "nebulous" --as anyone who has read the Dartmouth research knows.

 

 

 

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I can't afford to buy anything. I live on a small VA pensions and i give it to my children for their support to keep them off of welfare and for my old sons college education. I sleep on an 84 yr old womans couch and cook for her to get food and that couch.

Is her plan going to take money from me? What happens to my kids?

Yes i know i can go to the VA hospital but are veterans going to have to pay now too?

I got out of the USMC in 1974 and didn't get a pension until 2004. I can barely survive and help my kids which i will always do over my own needs.

What about Veterans on a disability pension ??

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For this you would no doubt be treated just the way you would be by a Democratic Congress & administration for your other taxes, at your income level. How are you able to "pay" your taxes now? They are deducted from most people's paychecks, which is adjusted for income level, and number of dependents. Some people end up getting more back than the small amount deducted.

If you are year after year getting a big refund check from taxes that you have actually paid, you need to check into changing what is being deducted.

It may be that you & your children may be covered for nothing from you at all if your income is low enough.

Your concerns may not be best served by fighting a plan such as this in principle, but in fighting for what you think are the correct income level cut-offs.

Also, do you think you are low income enough that if single payer was adopted, your taxes would not go up? If so, then then costs will probably not change much for you with this either.

Think about the alternative of leaving health insurance as it is, is that working out for you? Many employers are still offering insurance, but getting real itchy about it, raising the amounts employees have to pay, changing to plans with higher deductible, stuff like that.

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Starting back in her days as First Lady of Arkansas, Hillary has been all about creating healthcare options for the poor. It's unlikely that there is literally another elected official who has put anywhere near the amount of time and effort into health care issues that Hillary has. Also, SCHIP is Hillary's proposal and program - and that's been one of the most popular and successful programs of the post-New Deal era. SCHIP is a state program that provides funds for states to cover health insurance for children. Currently, Bush is proposing cutting the number of children served, and Hillary, as a senator, is proposing expanding it to cover families of four with incomes up to $82k a year. Get that? Hillary thinks people making close to $7k a month still need help with health insurance.

If you're skeptical of Hillary's commitment to providing high quality, inexpensive health care to everyone in the US, then you clearly don't know shit about her actual history.

I love Johnn Edwards But to imply for even one second that he is better on healthcare than Hillary is utter bullshit. You may prefer him as a candidate for other reasons, but he has nowhere near the history, or the credibility on this issue that Hillary does. And her history dates back much longer than 1994 attempt. It dates back to the early eighties and the work she was doing to get health care to the underprivileged families in Arkansas. And that history is consistent and something she has to be enormously proud of. She's fought the good fight.