Brzezinski Endorses Obama; Calls Hillary Clinton's Foreign Policy "Very Conventional"

There are aspects of both Barack Obama's and Hillary Clinton's national security and foreign policy strategies that seriously concern me. I feel much more pull towards the kind of national security contours of a Chuck Hagel -- but he has not announced and does not yet appear to be running.

That said, unless something earth-shattering happens, it is likely that either Obama or Clinton will be the next Democratic candidate for President, and very possibly the next President of the United States.

There are differences between them, and I have to admit that all candidates have a complex challenge appealing to voters in a primary race, then in a general election, and then dealing with citizens within the practical realities of Washington after victory. A candidate needs to be a chameleon to appeal to audiences whose core appetite is different in varying circumstances.

The Hillary we see today -- running hard right (if that is what one can call Bush's foreign policy) on a number of national security issues -- may not be the same Hillary we see in the Oval office. She may be ready to launch a new effort that helps reorder America's place in the world. Privately, I think she wants to do that. I have had at least one serious conversation with her -- and some occasional side comment moments with her -- that indicate to me that she really wants to push a 21st century foreign policy, not one sculpted in the last century.

That said, thus far in her campaign, she is demonstrating a disturbing trend towards incrementalism and continuity of Bush administration policies that she should cease.

This is a "discontinuous moment" in American history in which it's highly dangerous to American interests to plot tomorrow's course by what one did yesterday. There are no easy patterns or templates for the time we are in. America may be slipping from being a globally recognized, earth-sprawling hegemon to something that looks like just another great power -- well, perhaps not just any great power, a big one with great assets -- but that slippage has real costs.

Someone who recognizes the deteriorating state of America's moral credibility in the world and the increasingly eroded national security portfolio of the county is Carter administration National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski.

Sending an important signal, Brzezinski has just endorsed Barack Obama's candidacy over Hillary Clinton's. Brzezinski is one of the greatest strategic minds alive today and does understand the need to make changes in policy today to generate different outcomes tomorrow.

Influential foreign affairs columnist David Ignatius anticipated the themes of Brzezinski's statement in an important Washington Post piece, "The Pragmatic Obama," earlier this week.

In an article just published by Bloomberg's Janine Zacharia, Brzezinski is reported to have said that "Obama recognizes that the challenge is a new face, a new sense of direction, a new definition of America's role in the world.''

Brzezinski made the comments in an interview on Bloomberg Television's "Political Capital with Al Hunt." (Here is full transcript, courtesy of Bloomberg)

More from the Zacharia article:

"Obama is clearly more effective and has the upper hand," Brzezinski, who was President Jimmy Carter's national security adviser, said. "He has a sense of what is historically relevant, and what is needed from the United States in relationship to the world."

Brzezinski, 79, dismissed the notion that Clinton, 59, a New York senator and the wife of former President Bill Clinton, is more seasoned than Obama, 46. "Being a former first lady doesn't prepare you to be president," Brzezinski said.

Clinton's foreign-policy approach is "very conventional," Brzezinski said. "I don't think the country needs to go back to what we had eight years ago."

"There is a need for a fundamental rethinking of how we conduct world affairs," he added. "And Obama seems to me to have both the guts and the intelligence to address that issue and to change the nature of America's relationship with the world."

Yesterday, I reviewed some of the candidate's views on US-Cuba policy in which I outlined that Senator Chris Dodd was perhaps the most visionary and saw a clear path to a policy that would be in the long term interests of the United States and Cuba -- and break the bilateral relationship out of its freeze-dried state of many decades.

Barack Obama has a practical, near term policy approach on Cuba that clearly differs with the Bush administration and is in American interests, but Hillary Clinton said that she supports the Bush administration's tough embargo policy and a travel ban that is more restrictive and punitive than when she and her husband occupied the White House.

Dodd outlined the mid to long-term future. Obama sketched what a near term future in US-Cuba relations could look like, and Hillary Clinton -- regrettably, as I do recognize her many strengths -- is staying in the past.

That is why Brzezinski has called for Obama. Hillary Clinton could still be our next President, but she should not get defensive about Brzezinski's statement -- and instead, should dig a bit here and ask herself why her advisors are pushing her into anachronistic, 20th century grooves -- and not ones aimed at a clear-headed and consistent 21st century vision for the country.

-- Steve Clemons is Senior Fellow and Director of the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation and publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note


Comments (150)

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Wow. Nice endorsement for Obama, nice review of their Cuban policies as well, but most importantly: it seems like Obama is starting to surge in this whole debate over foreign policy, no?

They say the primary doesn't start till after Labor day, and this past week, it seems like his campaign is laying the groundwork for a strong narrative where he's the agent of change and Hillary is trapped in conventional Washington thinking. Whether or not that's accurate (I think there's some truth to it, such as re: Maliki), its a powerful narrative that seems to be taking hold. That can only help him.

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"but Hillary Clinton said that she supports the Bush administration's tough embargo policy and a travel ban that is more restrictive and punitive than when she and her husband occupied the White House."

That's bad enough. But her speech in front of the VFW this week made her look, in my opinion, like rabid warmonger who can't wait to start dropping bombs on the next country unlucky enough to get on our bad side. She's totally overcompensating for the perceived doubts about her toughness, and we don't need another itchy trigger finger in the White House.

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Oh please, Chuck Hagel? His record is even more disorienting than Clinton's! Everyone just projects good judgment on to him as the maverick, non-categorizable theoretical candidate du'jour.

Regardless of that, Clinton cannot reserve the right to campaign as a near Bush-apologist, and give us a 'nudge-nudge, wink-wink I'll actually be liberal if I get elected' as some kind of reassurance. I see zero, none, no reason to support her vision of "foreign policy" - not that I think she's even successfully articulated one despite trying to.

What fault do you see in Obama's FP proposals so far? I'm a 'completely get out of Iraq with no reserve force left behind" guy, so I don't like his desire to leave troops in Kuwait - I don't think they'll be in harm's way there, but I just don't think they can do any good from there. Other than that, re: Pakistan, Cuba, Afghanistan and the like, everything I've heard him say on Foreign Policy has been correct and reassuring.

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Unfortunately many voters aren't foreign policy savvy. And unfortunately, many people did not understand President Carter's foreign policies either, which have to be seen in the context of the Cold War and the emerging emphasis on human rights. For the record, I have a lot of respect for Carter. However, voter's do remember the Iran hostage crisis and the failed rescue. I don't think a Brzezinski endorsement will do much for Obama in today's political climate.

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When Brezinski and Ignatius and the like are praising him, that might not go directly to the ears of an Iowa voter. However, it will go to the ears of, say, David Yepsen. And Chris Matthews. And a whole host of elite "opinion makers" who set the narratives in which the campaigns unfold.

As such, these types of endorsements make it much less likely for the "too inexperienced" meme to stick, and that much more likely for the "change" vs "more of the same" meme to stick. And that's a narrative that benefits Obama. If all their foreign policy differences start getting fitted into that narrative, then Obama wins the FP debate.

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Quote of the week:

"Being a former first lady doesn't prepare you to be president."

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Obama keeps saying things that simply make sense. Clinton keeps saying things that she clearly hopes will make the listener think she is "tough." No question who would be the better leader, better healer, and better visionary. Isn't that what America really needs?

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As the kids used to say during the last cultural cycle, "Oh, Snap!"

 

In reality, Hillary Clinton has only one asset as a presidential candidate that Obama can't match. It is an asset that might generate just enough votes to get her elected. That asset is that she is a woman.

Her experience is non-existent. Neither Clinton nor Obama, nor Edwards for that matter, have any experience that qualifies them to be president. But, none of the Repub candidates have that experience either. And, the only candidate running who really does have the experience is Richardson, but he is apparently unelectable as president.

Electing a president as we do it is largely a gamble however you look at it. The odds for getting a good president go up considerably if there is a D after the candidates name, but, beyond that, it is purely a gamble.

Hoppy in Sacramento

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"... should dig a bit here and ask herself why her advisors are pushing her into anachronistic, 20th century grooves -- and not ones aimed at a clear-headed and consistent 21st century vision for the country."

Maybe the answer is that her top advisor laid some of those grooves himself, and lies in the bed next to her.

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In a democracy it shouldn't be much of a gamble because the President ultimately would obey the law and the will of the people. So much for Civics 101.

Now we have to look at every fillip, twitch and nuance to try to ascertain how deep the doo-doo we'll be in under Candidate A as opposed to Candidate B, a thankless, impossible task and a pure gamble as you say.

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You could be right. You could just be engaging in wishful thinking.

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. . . when he's not otherwise occupied.

I have to say that in naming a non-running candidate who you agree with on FP, that you chose Chuck Hagel (who I've not heard mention running) as opposed Wes Clark (who says repeatedly that he wants to run and thinks about it every day), is kind of a shock. Is Clark too liberal for you?

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I could be engaging in wishful thinking, sure. However, Ignatius' op-ed seems to make my point for me.

Why should I read this as anything more than an old-guard slap at her for being a woman? ("First ladies bake cookies, they aren't involved in decisions.") She's been a senator for 7 years and sits on the Armed Services Committee. What prepares a person to be president anyway?

J. McCutchen

"Very conventional". Zbig's such a gentleman. Been saying the same thing hereabouts for 2 years however many weeks in less polite terms

She has the gall to attack Obama's FP bona fides, this War Party fraud

The point isn't that Ms Clinton is not qualified to be president. She is qualified, just as the other candidates are. The point is that her constant claim to being uniquely experienced for the office is nonsense.

Richardson is probably best qualified, having extensive diplomatic experience, experience as a cabinet member, and experience as a governor. I have no idea whether his experience would lead him to be the best president of those running, but I don't doubt that his experience is greater than that of the others.

Hoppy in Sacramento

I second this. I have some admiration for Brzezinski, but he's a bit old-school himself, isn't he? And Obama's "restore America's leadership of the free world" approach scares me a little. In some ways, it's even more regressive than Hillary's cautious realism, because it harks back all the way to the Kennedys! Wes Clark, by contrast, gets what a progressive U.S. foreign policy should look like in a 21st century multipolar world. He has loads of experience, and marries pragmatism to idealism without going over the top. At the very least, he'd make an excellent choice as VP to help balance the flaws of whoever is at the top of the ticket.

J. McCutchen

Obama's kept his powder dry all summer long. That changed with the Iowa Debate and VFW Speech.

Look out folks....

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Brzezinski is not much of a support for Obama. He was Carter's national security advisor and like most of Carter's staff, he is not on the right side of intelligence. His Polish demeanor, Kissinger like foreign ascent and bombastic appearance may mislead some, but try to find one single original idea that came from him.

The claim of incrementalism and continuity attributed to Hillary is baseless and doesn't stand the simplest of tests. I may not be a supporter of Hillary, but she will stop the war, take care of the poor and middle class and her health care system approach is similar to Obama's and Edwards'.

Sometime saying less is much better that using pigeon Polish.

Why should I read this as anything more than an old-guard slap at her for being a woman?

That's a fair question.  I'd answer it probably by pointing to the wife of a former President I'd consider undoubtedly qualified to serve as President, Eleanor Roosevelt.  Republicans hated her even more than they hate Clinton.  Everyone else loved her.  Comparing her achievements with Hillary Clinton's, I'd vote for Roosevelt in a minute (less, actually).  Alas, she passed before most of the readers here were born...and without her as a standard of measurement it is hard to really assess Clinton's qualifications or achievements.  Measured against Eleanor Roosevelt, however, I think she comes up wanting.  Eleanor never served in an elective office, but she did such things as pen the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, further Civil Rights for Blacks before it was a front burner issue, and give us a person of whom we could be unreservedly proud. 

aMike

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This is the 21st century, folks. I am sick and tired of the Bushes and the Clintons. Hillary is the bridge back to the 20th c.

Hillary, Bill, George, Jeb, OUT !!!!

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I agree totally. Lets get some new blood in the Whitehouse.

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H-LLAs a Cuban-American who thinks it's way past time the United States normalized relations with Cuba, I was dumbfounded when I read that Hillary for the most part, doesn't want to do anything to the "Bush administration's hard-line stance."

The only thing that popped in my mind is that Bill told her some super classified information about why American presidents, whether Democrats or Republicans, have taken the hard-line stance. Such as maybe, just maybe, Castro had something to do with the Kennedy assassination and until the ol' geezer is gone, the brutal eye of history will not allow a president to open any type of dialogue with the island nation.

It's the ONLY THING THAT MAKES SENSE. But I still don't like the way she responded. And Obama's op-ed in The Miami Herald was right on cue.

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Quote of the week: "Being a former first lady doesn't prepare you to be president."

Heh.

I teach HS science but I'm married to physician. When she comes home and gives me the rundown of her day, I do get a pretty decent sense of the stress involved with her job. I can even talk a good game and sound all medical with the proper lingo. But trust me, you DO NOT want me cutting open your loved ones or diagnosing whatever ails you. And you certainly don't want me delivering your baby by c-section, which is something my wife does nearly every day.

I accept the fact that Hillary has a reasonable amount of public policy experience as a legislator. A but more experience than Edwards and a bit less than Obama. But the idea that she is somehow the senior candidate here because she "shared" a bed with the previous occupant? Well, I just don't buy it.

What Hillary actually has is an immense amount of POLITICAL experience. As a spouse she was intimately involved in what? Two governor's campaigns and two presidential campaigns before this one? That's an immense amount of campaign experience. And I expect that she was much more intimately involved in every one of those campaigns than she ever was in the day to day operations of the Arkansas government or the White House.

It is her POLITICAL experience that is showing through in this campaign. She is clearly the most polished, disciplined, and senior campaigner on either side of the aisle. It may win her elections, but I'm not sure it really translates to superior executive experience for the job at hand.

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It is her POLITICAL experience that is showing through in this campaign. She is clearly the most polished, disciplined, and senior campaigner on either side of the aisle. It may win her elections, but I'm not sure it really translates to superior executive experience for the job at hand.

In fact political experience is what is wrong with the The United States right now.

The Clinton's, yes they are attached at the hip, loss in the campaign for governor
left a deep fear in them and this will drive them to be too political in responses and actions to effect the real changes needed.

In fact I would have to say they would continue the Neocon agenda,
more astute and pretty, but still the same.


-----------------------------------------------
Today, are we searching for I deals or Ideals?
-Thinking

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And, for what it's worth: Bill R use to be the Congressman from one district just north of where I lived at the time. He was a very well liked rep from a very progressive district.

Kevin Russell Cook

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There is one foreign policy issue that is so important that the others pale in comparison: Iraq. This is true substantively and politically.

The candidates' positions and records on the war will drive the preferences of Democratic primary voters, not their detailed foreign policy stances.

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In the eight years Clinton was President, Hillary Clinton traveled extensively, both nationally and internationally, has developed personal and professional relationships with many national and international leaders, has supported and promoted many political causes, especially in children's and women's fields in India and Pakistan and worked just as hard as Eleanor Roosevelt in supporting her husband and party's goals. Clinton was a signatory to the International Children's Rights declaration and the Children's Defense Fund and has worked to further civil rights since her college days.

You know, it would be nice if people actually read her books, researched her record and tried to view it outside the prism of her critics. It might also be fairer to mention that Eleanor Roosevelt who accomplished so much, did so after the death of her husband, when she was freed from framing her politics in the context of her husband's political goals. That Hillary Clinton had to work to support her family financially, for most of her career, while also contributing and volunteering support for these causes, is just as admirable as Eleanor Roosevelt's long career in philanthropy and political causes. That Hillary Clinton worked hard to secure the nomination and election to a political office and has worked hard for her constituents, earning re-election and their respect is to her credit, not detriment.

It is a testament to the hard work and dedication of both women that a woman can run for the presidency of The United States and actually have a chance. To measure one woman's record against another and have that woman's record come up wanting, tells me you haven't been paying attention.

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Now here's another commenter who seems to think that Hillary Clinton spent eight years in the White House polishing the silver and listening to her husband's work stories. The fact that she traveled as extensively as she did both nationally and internationally supporting and promoting the rights of the defenseless and was roundly criticized for it as a woman who didn't know her place is now forgotten.

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Hillary's a hawk--that's for sure. If she picked Joe Lieberman as her running mate she'd lose the election, but it would make a lot of sense otherwise.

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it would be nice if people actually read her book
It would be even nicer if she had actually written them.

It might also be fairer to mention that Eleanor Roosevelt who accomplished so much, did so after the death of her husband, when she was freed from framing her politics in the context of her husband's political goals.
The point is that Ms. Roosevelt actually did accomplish much in the political world despite the misogynistic political climate of the time, whereas Ms. Clinton has accomplished very little -- unless you count riding coattails and supporting a corrupt administration --- despite a much more nurturing political environment for women.

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Keep your eye on the ball;

The Republicans want to run against Obama because the know they can't beat Hillary.

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Why should I read this as anything more than an old-guard slap at her for being a woman?

Because it's not an old-guard slap at her for being a woman. It's a valid and reasonable slap at her for attempting to imply that being the wife of a former president is somehow akin to holding public office. And it's a slap at her claim that her experience trumps everyone else's, and particularly Obama's. Obama is right: if all her experience prompted her to vote to authorize the use of force, then what the hell good is her experience anyway?

Being president is not necessarily about experience. It's about setting a course for the country and making the decisions that need to be made to get us there. Those decisions are generally informed by teams of advisors who have far more expertise and experience in critical areas than any one person could possibly acquire. What's required of the president is the ability to take all the available information and use it to make wise choices for the country.

There are plenty of people in office with lifetimes of experience who have still done remarkably crappy jobs for most of their careers (see Dick Cheney for an example). And we have plenty of examples of people with little experience who have made a huge difference. Senator Paul Wellstone from Minnesota comes to mind.

Hillary's claim that her seven years in the Senate qualifies her over all others is simply false. If years in office is what it comes down to then Bill Richardson, Chris Dodd, Joe Biden and Dennis Kucinich all have her beat and she can quit today. Besides, if experience was all that counted, I'd choose the Governor every time because Senators and Representatives don't pick up the kind of experience that's useful in governing anyway. Hillary's insinuation that being first lady counts for something is dubious at best. She knows where the White House bathrooms are. It guess that'll save her some time if she's elected. Otherwise, it reeks of dilettantism.

Let everyone run on their good ideas and their good record. And let Hillary stop using her husband's presidency as part of her pitch. She's running for president. Bill's not.

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Clinton has plenty of experience for the job of President. She was a member of the Nixon impeachment inquiry staff, and then went on to a prominent law career in which she was twice named one of the top 100 woman lawyers in the country. And no one thinks she was just the "first lady" during the Clinton administration, but by most accounts she was Bill Clinton's top advisor and the administration's chief political strategist. She had an office in the West Wing and was involved in administration decision-making on a daily basis. She was really an integral part of two presidential administrations administrations.

Then of course she has been a twice-elected Senator for the country's second most populous state, serving on the Armed Services Committee. Her level of experience is comparable to that of Robert Kennedy. She is also clearly very hard-working and very ambitious.

There are a number of important differences between Hillary Clinton and Eleanor Roosevelt, chief among them being that Eleanor Roosevelt was best known as a promoter of peace and reconciliation, while Hillary Clinton is an enabler of war, hostility and aggression.

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I am not sure that it is such a wonderful thing for Obama to be wrapped in the Carter years. Remember one of the presidents to have lower poll ratings than Bush was Carter.

More seriously other than the media's desire to create conflict what real difference is there between Clinton and Obama? The main "dispute" is whether a presidential candidate should say everything they might do, not on what they think might be the right thing to do. There is no really daylight between the two candidates on specific policies.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Recently, Zbigniew Brzezinski, who in 1988 broke with the Democratic Party and endorsed George H. W. Bush for President and the following year published The Grand Failure in which he confidently predicted that the Soviet Union would likely collapse within a few decades, endorsed Barak Obama for President.

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There is no really daylight between the two candidates on specific policies.
No daylight at all, except that Obama was against the war from the beginning and Clinton was and still IS a major supporter. And maybe that AFAIK, Obama has never supported a bill to put limits on the first amendment. And that Obama bases his positions more on Mr. Jefferson than Mr. Gallup. Aside from those paper-thin differences, they're identical twins. (Except for gender and race.)

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If Hillary gets the nomination, I suspect she'll pick Bill as her running mate.

Brzezinski is still a brilliant mind, and far from "old school". I believe he's looking clearly at the current world situation in today's terms and he's seeing that there's a new world and a new reality that needs to be addressed. And I think he's impressed with Obama's open and pragmatic approach. Read what Brzezinski has written and said on a variety of topics. Then consider that Hillary chose Madeleine Albright to be on her team.

Lesley Stahl on U.S. sanctions against Iraq: "We have heard that a half million children have died. I mean, that's more children than died in Hiroshima. And, you know, is the price worth it?"

Secretary of State Madeleine Albright: "I think this is a very hard choice, but the price--we think the price is worth it."

If you prefer Hillary's claustrophobic, paranoid, vaguely-imperialist view of the world, then have at it--vote for her and you'll get four years of Hillary's new Cool War vision for the world.

A couple of Brzezinki's "old school" pieces:

"Five Flaws in the President's Plan"
"Terrorized by 'War On Terror'"

Personally, I'll take Obama's pragmatic, humble-but-not-humbled realism over Hillary's dogmatic, old-school jingoism any day of the week.

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Why would John Edwards as the Democratic candidate be "earth shattering" as posited in the second paragraph. Are there other motives/agendas at work among BigBizDems that automatically shun Edwards as do BigBizCons?

Maybe that alone is reason enough for endorsing his candidacy. This is still a horse race.

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Hillary would be new blood. She shares a bed and a last name with Bill, but she's not Bill. Not even close. I think your comment indicates part of the problem: many of Hillary's supporters are secretly entertaining the notion that a vote for Hillary is a vote for a "return" to the "Clinton" years. They're wrong. Those were the BILL Clinton years, folks. The Hillary Clinton years will be quite different. If you liked Bill, don't vote for Hillary because all you'll get is Hillary.

It really worries me that a lot of people seem to be basing their vote on Hillary's last name. I actually heard someone say recently, "I'm not voting for Hillary. Then it would be Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton. That would be stupid." I hope we haven't descended to that level of thinking. There are plenty of excellent reasons to vote for someone besides Hillary, but I wouldn't count her last name among them.

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I don't understand how you can make a statement like "Brzezinski is one of the greatest strategic minds alive today," and not back it up with something. The Carter presidency has been increasingly discredited (to an extent I don't necessarily agree with) and since that time Brzezinski's name hasn't been attached to any great strategic policy moves that I'm aware of. Please provide some context or else refrain from making such sweeping and grandiose statements of opinion.

Thanks.

It really worries me that a lot of people seem to be basing their vote on Hillary's last name.

Would she even be Senator from New York if she ran as Hillary Rodham?  I don't know...history doesn't reveal its alternatives.  But for a "democratic" country we're quite dynastic.  Two father/son Presidency combos.  An Uncle/Nephew Presidential Combo.  Robert Kennedy laughingly referred to as the third Senator from Massachusetts...switching states and counting on name recognition to give him a platform.  Patrick Kennedy doing the same in Rhode Island.

There are all sorts of other examples...Tafts, etc. etc. etc.  But my point is this.  One cannot have it both ways.  One cannot use the name recognition when it's useful and deny the connection is helpful when it isn't useful.

aMike

J. McCutchen


There are circumstances beyond our control, and I think I am better able to handle things I have no control over. it's a horrible prospect to ask yourself 'What if? What if?' But if certain things happen between now and the election, particularly with respect to terrorism, that will automatically give the Republicans an advantage again, no matter how badly they have mishandled it, no matter how much more dangerous they have made the world. So I think I'm the best of the Democrats to deal with that as well.

Senator Rod Ham


Being a former first lady doesn't prepare you to be president, - Zbig

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"by most accounts she was Bill Clinton's top advisor and the administration's chief political strategist."

Please tell us you were joking. You WERE joking, weren't you?

Hartgal
I like listening to what Zbigniew Brzezinski has to say because of how frank and forthright he is. His endorsement of Obama comes at a critical juncture in the 08 presidential race foreign policy debate. Brzezinski's insight about Hillary's conventional foreign policy speaks to his deep understanding that the US is at a high stakes moment on the world stage. He knows we cannot afford to lose sight of the fact that the US desperately needs a brand new constructive and engaged relationship with the world.

J. McCutchen

MR. HUNT: In that larger context then, would you argue that the widely advertised General Petraeus report in a couple weeks is really not very relevant?

MR. BRZEZINSKI: Well, I would recommend that people read the report he delivered, I believe in 2004 or 2005, which was claiming at the time that we were making significant progress and that we were doing quite well.

Friday Follies: The Utter Uselessness of the Petraeus Report
Paul Waldman

I don't know about that. It already has old Trillary triangulating

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I have no proof for what I'm going to say and therefore you can take it with a big grain of salt, but my intuition tells me that Hillary Clinton does not have any strong foreign policy views of her own and therefore is likely to be heavily influenced by her advisers and by the polls. I don't like this, because I sense she could drift anywhere--even into pretty dangerous Bush-like territory. I don't have great confidence that she'll move left after being elected (if she is elected). I think she could just as easily get even more Bush like if enough people around her cheer her on in that direction. And I don't have much hope that she'll formulate a consistent and coherent vision for the country's foreign policy. Much more likely, I think, would be a reactive foreign policy that follows events in a disjointed way, without any underlying unifying principles. I also can't see Clinton being well liked by other foreign leaders. She just doesn't strike me as having the right mind or the right personality. I wonder if she'll get much respect from other world leaders without either strong ideas of her own or an appealing personality? I don't see her as a good leader for our time when we need to really restore our standing in the world after the Bush disaster. Obama strikes me as much better--a guy with a great personality and better confidence in his own beliefs.

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Obama is uniquely qualified to be Pres because he alone of all the candidates on either side has the ability, from his background and early life, to step outside of the American cocoon and to see other peoples as something other than extensions of our ambitions and desires. He really undertands that they are people with (often, but not always) legitimate ambitions and points of view that must be taken into account, even if ultimately opposed.

Hillary, OTOH, is like all the rest--she sees the world as an extension of US ambitions and conflicts, the very thing that led us astray throughout the Cold War and now in our purported "generational struggle": against Islamic extremism.

This kind of objectivity gives him instant credibility abroad, and he recogizes that with his promise to go before some Islamic forum and pledge that we do not seek to wage war against Islam or otherwise undermine it as a religion. He is the clean break with our past, not Hillary Clinton. "Conventional" is exactly the word to apply to her. And it is not what we need now.

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It is an old guard slap and on almost the same grounds: if the position is not formal, it does not matter that Hillary was doing chief of staff work, we can't count her experience because it was for her husband and was not paid. Both she and Bill are policy wonks.

Watching and helping somebody else be President brings a lot of information with it that is not available elsewhere.

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Obama's credibility: Say, for example, inPakistan?

Bush already made that pledge. No American President can make that pledge and be believed unless it is backed up with action. Obama has pledged to take unilateral action over Pakistan's objection if need be. Having shown that type of respect, how much credibility do you think he has in the Islamic world?

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Tweety? Only Tucker has worse ratings on MSNBC. And does anyone even watch him Sunday morning?

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You know, I get really tired of comments like this. I don't know about you, but I'm not particularly impressed with the extent of Republican "knowledge". Karl Rove thought the Republicans were going to keep Congress in 2006. The Republicans "know" that "victory" is just around the corner in Iraq. If you are truly willing to start with the assumption that what Republicans "know" is the truth, then darn it, vote for those brilliant Republicans!

If YOU think Obama (or Clinton or Edwards or Kucinich...) can't beat whatever numbskull the Republicans nominate, say so and say why! I'm much more interested in what YOU think than what you think of Republicans "think" (unless, I guess, what you think is based completely on what Republicans supposedly think).

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Nobody is buying that "top 100 lawyers" nonsense any more. Her husband had to put the arm on Jim MacDougal to get her some legal work.

Its as embarassing as tht "women's organization" that TWICE gave Bill Clinton their award, as though they have no common sense to understand that Clinton's having sex with employees was a bad thing for women's opportunities.

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I'd appreciate some background here too. He gets quoted a lot and writes opinion pieces, but why do you consider him to be so brilliant?

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Read the Bernstein book.

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I have and I consider it a fair read regarding Hillary.

What experiences in the White House do you see as contributing to the claim that Hillary has executive Presidential experience?

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Bang that drum, AJM. I believe the majority of Americans would agree that IF we have actionable intelligence and IF Pakistan's government won't take action, then America will. And, we will and I would support it.

Seems that Hillary wouldn't take nukes off the table under that scenario because it's hypothetical. Obama certainly took them off.

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Not impossible to do, IMHO, and one more American voters would be wise to attempt.

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As opposed to Hillary who supported the war? You must be joking. Obama didn't say he would invade and attack Pakistan, he said he'd go after Al Qaeda and Taliban fighters living in the mountainous border region. There are plenty of people in both Pak. and Afghanistan who would like to see those suckers dead as well, but certainly many who sympathize with them as well. Musharraf made a treaty with them to just give them autonomy, what action does anyone with any sense believe he'd ever take against them? They have already staged attacks in the heart of urban Pakistan, and have attempted to assassinate him. But politically, he can't go after them because they have powerful allies. Obama said he'd increase aid to Musharraf, but would reserve the right to go after what are essentially mutual enemies who Musharraf can't even go after anyways.

Yeah, a few Al Qaeda sympathizers in PK burned American flags after Obama's comment. But why do we care what Al Qaeda sympathizers think? Notice that Musharraf himself didn't make a peep after the comment, other than to declare that recent rumors that he would declare martial law were false. Think about it.

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I did read Mrs. Clinton's book and, other than an amusing anecdote about a lecherous encounter with nonegenarian Strom Thurmond, I found it to be the most anodyne pablum I've ever read. She projected all the intellectual bite and political passion of June Cleaver.

For me, the best reason to support Hillary is that her election will absolutely gall all the Clinton-haters. Back atcha!

But perhaps Obama will be in the better political position to look under all the rocks of the prior eight years and dispense just punishment to the cadres of Bush administration felons, from Cheney to Rumsfeld to Gonzales, on down to the many anonymous apparatchiks. Mrs. Clinton would likely feel more constrained not to appear "vindictive" to her husband's persecutors in the Republican party.

I say, let the tumbrels roll!

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"I believe the majority of Americans would agree that IF we have actionable intelligence and IF Pakistan's government won't take action, then America will."

That isn't all Obama said. He further qualified it by specifying that it be about "high value targets", ie: bin Laden and his pals. If any American president had that sort of actionable intelligence and didn't take action (after first asking Pakistan to take action) I would hope someone would impeach them.

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Put the way you mischaracterized it, what difference would it make? You might as well just lie outright about what Obama's said.

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This is a very thoguhtful post by Steve, but I have to say this comment by Brzezinski stopped me cold:

"Being a former first lady doesn't prepare you to be president," Brzezinski said.

That's blatantly sexist, at minimum, and ignores her 6 1/2 years in the Senate and on the Armed Services Committee.

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sdhays said:

You know, I get really tired of comments like this.

Don't read them.

The Republicans took both Houses of Congress in 05 and held them till last year. They elected possibly the worst President in our history, Twice!

I didn't say I was impressed with their knowledge, nor did I say they know the "truth", but they do have a talent for winning elections. There's no "knowledgeable" reason for Bush to have beaten Kerry, but he did. Worse, they were good enough to beat Gore or at least make it close enough to steal.

I 'suspected' the possibility in 04 they feared Dean, (remember Dean, the guy who wanted to go after the Republican's Billy Joe Bob vote?) so word was put out by the Repugs that "Dean can't win," so we got Kerry.

I have the 'suspicion' that the 'Hillary can't win" conventional wisdom 'may' be a repeat of Dean '04.

Ignore the enemy's capabilities. Underestimate them at your own peril.

My choice was always Gore.

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All Obama did was describe long standing U.S. policy

How naive...

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If YOU think Obama (or Clinton or Edwards or Kucinich...) can't beat whatever numbskull the Republicans nominate, say so and say why!
OK, I'll say it again: I don't think Hillary can beat whatever numbskill the Republicans nominate. There are three reasons for that opinion:


  • She will not have the support (read "vote") of millions of lefties like me. This reason is not really arguable.

  • Almost every Republican and many right-leaning indies think she wears horns and carries a pitchfork. This reason is not very arguable, either.
  • Many moderate Dems will not bother to show up because it isn't worth the trouble to vote for a person they don't trust and who promises to continue the same policies they despise in the Bush administration. This is opinion, but one about which I'm pretty confident.

    I'm no crystal-ball gazer, and my prognostication record is dreary (I thought Dukakis would win in a walk), but I can't imagine how she can overcome all those obstacles. You can't lose left, right, OR center and still become President, let alone left, right, AND center.
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    When she talks about her experience vs Obama's supposed inexperience, you really think she's talking about 6.5 years in the Senate vs 2.5 years in the Senate?

    Really?

    C'mon.

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    I agree, on paper Richardson has the most varied government service on the Federal and state level.

    One could argue that a bright and involved first lady such as Hillary Clinton got training almost equivalent to a vice president during her eight years in the White House. Though she held no constitutional office, she was privy to a lot of information and ongoing debates on issues and crises that unfolded in the Clinton years.
    Not yet rated.

    There are circumstances beyond our control, and I think I am better able to handle things I have no control over.

    Did she really say this?  I know there's no context provided but try as hard as I can I can't parse this in any way which makes sense.  If I truly have "no control"  then I can't handle at all.  Handling implies the ability to make at least minimal change, exert at least minimal force, and evoke at least a somewhat better outcome. 

    "I can't control this... guess I'll go out and do my yoga or take a tango lesson."

    aMike

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     In the eight years Clinton was President, Hillary Clinton traveled extensively, both nationally and internationally, has developed personal and professional relationships with many national and international leaders, has supported and promoted many political causes, especially in children's and women's fields in India and Pakistan and worked just as hard as Eleanor Roosevelt in supporting her husband and party's goals. Clinton was a signatory to the International Children's Rights declaration and the Children's Defense Fund and has worked to further civil rights since her college days.

    Here is an opposing take on your view:

    Sen. Hillary Milhous Clinton has been lumbering around the political landscape talking about herself as commander in chief. She joined the Senate Armed Services Committee as a freshman seven short years ago and has managed to pick up enough military jargon to sound like an Army major on his third tour of duty in the Pentagon's administrative office. She has taken on the world-weary sound of a veteran European diplomat -- although she has not carried out even one day's duty as a diplomat.

    In fact, prior to being elected to the Senate in 2000, her only recent professional employment had been as a lawyer in Little Rock, Ark., while her husband, coincidentally, was governor of that state. She represented clients who sometimes had an interest in getting to know her husband better. She has never managed anything larger than a Senate office, although she did exercise the traditional first lady's prerogative of trying to get various members of her husband's staff fired.

    Her international activities while first lady were more in line with the ceremonial responsibilities of a Pat Nixon or Laura Bush than with the actual interventions of Eleanor Roosevelt -- who she does claim to have spoken to via séance.

    In other words, she doesn't have the government management experience of a Reagan, Carter or Bill Clinton. Nor does she have the international, military or naval experience of an Eisenhower, Hoover or a Franklin Roosevelt. Now, this doesn't mean she would not make a jim-dandy president (although I would prefer about 295 million other Americans in that job before her). But it does mean that the cliché that she is the experienced candidate is just hooey.

    Then you write:

    That Hillary Clinton had to work to support her family financially, for most of her career, while also contributing and volunteering support for these causes, is just as admirable as Eleanor Roosevelt's long career in philanthropy and political causes. ...It is a testament to the hard work and dedication of both women that a woman can run for the presidency of The United States and actually have a chance. To measure one woman's record against another and have that woman's record come up wanting, tells me you haven't been paying attention

    Whoa, this is a real distortion of what Hillary has done. She did not work to support her family financially for most of her career. Her professional career in ARK was with the oldest  good ol boy firm in Arkansas which she was able to secure based on Bills connections. Just as she is campaigning and fund raising  on his connections today.

    Bill was a State Atty General prior to becoming governor and they lived in the governor's mansion when Hillary became partner in that good ol boy law firm. Her finances were not at all essential to their lifestyle. Not one bit.

    To even suggest that  Hillary's volunteer efforts like sitting on corporate boards at WalMart are anywhere near those of Eleanor Roosevelt is a gross distortion and minimization of what Eleanor accomplished in terms of the Civil Rights movement, New Deal, child laber and establishing a minimum wage in this country. There is not one thing whatsoever in Hillary's resume which is comparable to those achievements, advocacy and leadership on Hillary's part.  Hillary had an opportunity to do something of which would have been as significant if she had continued to be a leader and champion on universal health care. Hillary chose instead to acqueisence to the lobbyist influence and 'represent them because they are Americans too' It is not difficult in the least to measure Hillary's record against Eleanor's and find her to be totally lacking in honesty, conviction, integrity and leadership.

    It is anything but a testament to women for Hillary to run for President as a female based on her spouse's record rather than any earned experiernced as a leader or an elected official. Hillary's track record is devoid of significant leadership, advocacy or championing to  overcome  domestic problems of significance in this country. Hillary is the wrong female to represent females as her running affirms that she is an affirmative action candidate based on gender as she has no track record of merit that validates or affirms any political achievement or accomplishment of note other than being a First Lady. In fact, she has a record of being polarizing and unable to mold consensus or champion causes with the courage and conviction that true leadership represents while serving as First Lady.

    Hillary is a very poor role model for women as she basically says the road to the Presidency is through marriage to a former President and not based on anything accomplished on your own merit. Which is why many educated, affluent and professional women soundly reject her candidacy on the basis of merit. Women who have worked to earn their careers find Hillary to be the antithesis of what females should be when considered to be successful professionals.

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    This is the guy who masterminded the Iranian Hostage rescue, without allowing for a sandstorm....in the desert. He was also the NSA advisor to Jimmy Carter as the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan, detente disintegrated, the U.S. boycotted the International Olympics, the Shah of Iran was overthrown, the Secretary of State resigned.

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    intelligence. His Polish demeanor, Kissinger like foreign ascent and bombastic appearance may mislead some, but try to find one single original idea that came from him.

    You must not watch Z. He is anything but bombastic and he is an acclaimed strategic mind particularly on foreign policy. I am uncertain why you say he does not have an original idea when clearly the new original idea of neoconservatism as the idealogy for America's foreign policy has been a colossal failure. Z knew enough not to sanction that stupidity and had enough statesmanship not to attack the current administration. In fact, when folks talk about experience informing judgment, Z exemplifies that and has a hugely successful track record on matters of foreign policy. Why would he rely on the flawed intelligence of this administration given the depth of his understanding of world cultures, global affairs and the impact of balkanazation on America's global power.  Kissinger was a nitwit and kowtowed to Nixon, but Z is a first rate strategic mind who brings unmatchable experitse on FP that is self-evident even in a room of his peers. He is highly esteemed. Unlike Hillary.

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    That's blatantly sexist, at minimum, and ignores her 6 1/2 years in the Senate and on the Armed Services Committee.

    What's sexist about it? If she were referring to her years in the Senate she could not claim to be more experienced as Obama has far more elected office experience than Hillary.  I think what Z was doing was pointing out that being First Lady is not experience when it comes to being an elected politician. Nothing sexist there. If anything it takes temerity for Hillary to even consider a spousal role as 'experience' for the WH.

    Would you consider your spousal role as experience for doing your spouse's job?  Would you have the temerity to run on being the spouse of soandso as qualification for doing anything other than being a spouse again?

    What profession considers spousal experience as significant enough to claim for qualifications to do a job when you have not ever held a public leadership role on any policy?

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    SPIEGEL: Dr. Brzezinski, President Bush compares the dangers of terrorism with the dangers of the Cold War. He has even spoken repeatedly of a "nation at war" and will only accept "complete victory." Is he right or is he using exaggerated rhetoric?

     

    Brzezinski: He is fundamentally wrong. Whether that is deliberate demagoguery or simply historical ignorance, I do not know. For four years I was responsible for coordinating the U.S. response in the event of a nuclear attack. And I can assure you that a nuclear war between the United States and the Soviet Union on a comprehensive scale would have killed 160 to 180 million people within 24 hours.

    No terrorist threat is comparable to that in the foreseeable future. Moreover, terrorism is essentially a technique of killing people and not the enemy as such. If one wages war on an invisible, unidentifiable phantom, one gets into a state of mind that virtually promotes dangerous exaggerations and distortions of reality.

    SPIEGEL: What are these distortions?

    Brzezinski: After the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941, the United States was energetic and determined, and during the 40 years of the Cold War it was patient and deliberate. In neither case did any U.S. president intentionally preach fear as the major message to the people - on the contrary.

    With his very loose formulations, the president is now creating a climate of fear that is destructive for American morale and distorting of American policy.

    SPIEGEL: Is fear, as at the thought of a nuclear weapon in the hands of terrorists, not something very natural?

    Brzezinski: Certainly, such a notion is not entirely unrealistic, but on the other hand we are not confronted with the Soviet nuclear weapons arsenal. I do not wish to minimize the danger of a single or even multiple terrorist acts, but their scale is simply not comparable.

    SPIEGEL: Yet sometimes the discussions, in the United States but also in Europe, create the impression that radical Islam has taken the place of the former Soviet Union and that some form of Cold War is continuing.

    Brzezinski: Radical Islam is such an anonymous phenomenon that has arisen in some countries and not in others. It has to be taken seriously, but it is still only a regional danger most prevalent in the Middle East and somewhat east of the Middle East. And even in those regions, Islamic fundamentalists are not in the majority.

    SPIEGEL: Fear-mongering is therefore not a valid response?

    Brzezinski: We have to formulate a policy for this region which helps us to mobilize our potential friends. Only if we cooperate with them can we contain and eventually eliminate this phenomenon. It is a paradox: During the Cold War, our policy was directed at uniting our friends and dividing our enemies. Unfortunately our tactics today, including occasional Islamphobic language, have the tendency of unifying our enemies and alienating our friends.

    SPIEGEL: So it is exaggerated rhetoric which ensures that Osama bin Laden is elevated to the level of a Mao or Stalin?

    Brzezinski: Correct. And that is of course a distortion of reality - notwithstanding the fact that bin Laden is a killer. He is a criminal and should be presented as such, and not intentionally elevated into a globally significant leader of a transnational, quasi-religious movement.

    SPIEGEL: Has there been any progress at all in the fight against terrorism for the past five years?

    Brzezinski: Yes and no. Knock on wood. So far, there has been no repetition of a terrorist attack in the United States, and that - as was the case with the recent plot in London - is probably partly due to preventive measures we have taken.

    Also, there is a growing realization among the modern elites in the Moslem world that Islamic terrorism is a threat to them as well - but it is a slow process. Moreover, this process has been handicapped, as with our invasion of Iraq, which has galvanized a lot of hostility in the Islamic world towards the United States. Our insensitive and ambiguous posture in the Israel-Palestinian conflict is also a very important reason for the hostility towards us. All this helps terrorism.

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    I think we are selling Eleanor Roosevelt a little short here. We must understand the times were very different, circumstances different, but Eleanor had figured out her role before FDR was elected.

    The key relationship to understand is that between Louis Howe and Eleanor after Franklin had Polio. Howe, who devoted his life from about 1912 until his death in 1936 to making FDR President, helped Eleanor emerge in the early 1920's as both her own person with her own relationships and friends, and also as the stand-in for FDR while he was devoting himself to trying to learn to walk again. She became the leader of the Womens' Division of the Democratic Party a few years after the sufferage amendment. She became a public speaker, she replaced Franklin on many public committees. She learned to inspect virtually every kind of public instituion, looking for corner cutting if not fraud. She became a school teacher, taught Government. She took up writing on public policy questions, including economic ones and a defense of internationalism in an isolationist era. When Howe saw the 1928 opening for Governor of New York -- it was Howe and Eleanor who did the politics that nominated FDR. It was also Howe and Eleanor who together dealt with the DNC so as to take Al Smith and his business friends out of control, and open the way for FDR in 1932. Yes, and all this before the Nomination. In fact Eleanor did not want FDR to become President, largely because she feared being cast in a social matron's role in DC -- and it was Howe who convinced FDR that there could be a new model First Lady, who did not do society, but rather did labor unions and Depression era poverty.

    The first summer Eleanor was first lady, she took her own car, piled it high with camping gear, took along a friend, and drove around the west and mid-west stopping in to see every CCC camp and other relief project along the way, and sending daily notes back to Howe and FDR. No Secret Service -- not even any notification of the local police. And yea, in the process writing a daily newspaper column about what they found along the way -- a camper's description of the roadsides during the Great Depression. Can you imagine Karl Rove training up Laura to do such a thing??? (Laugh).

    Eleanor was not totally constrained by FDR's sense of immediate politics. She had a huge letter-writing public, many of these letters raised key issues about policy -- not only during the 30's but during the war. She had no hesitency asking, for