The Case of Colorado
The assertion that Colorado was damaged by the Taxpayers Bill of Rights (TABOR) is silly.
As Jon Caldara, President of the Golden, CO – based Independence Institute says, “TABOR saved Colorado’s fiscal fanny. It held Colorado’s budget to a reasonable growth level during the go-go-go late 90’s and early 2000’s, while other states allowed their budgets to balloon. When the recession hit after 9/11, most states, like California, saw massive and painful budget cuts. Thanks to TABOR we in Colorado did not. And while California saw the recall of their governor, no muscle building actors became governor in Colorado.
Although the spending lobby will never admit it, TABOR saved Colorado.”
The Institute has published a study titled “A Decade of TABOR” which highlights the benefits of TABOR in Colorado.
Let’s look at some key metrics (not mentioned by Anrig) for the years TABOR was in full effect:
- Growth of Gross State Product (GSP): Under TABOR, Colorado’s GSP grew faster than the national average. From 1997-2004, Colorado’s GSP grew 6 percent: a full percentage point above the average GSP for the nation. These gains compound over time leading to incremental standard of living increases greater than the national average.
- Growth in Personal Income Per Capita: In the years since TABOR has been in effect, personal income per capita in Colorado has risen 10 percent faster than the national average.

- Employment Growth: Employment since TABOR was enacted has increased at a rate nearly double the national average. From 1992 through 2004, employment in Colorado has increased at an average of 2.8 percent while national employment has only grown at 1.7 percent. If the state had added jobs at the national average, Colorado would be home to 361,679 fewer jobs.

[Management note: due to a technical error, the two charts Mr. Norquist provided originally rendered as the same image. The error has now been fixed.]


Seeing the Norquist byline, I for some reason imagined I was about to read Norquist's writing, rather than Norquist copying someone else's homework. Silly me.
September 20, 2007 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't want to abolish the Republican party; I simply want to reduce it to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub.
September 20, 2007 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
The morality of invading a sovereign nation which has not attacked ours and torturing and killing its citizens, is the same morality which underpins the Holocaust.
September 20, 2007 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Norquist's Islamic Institute was initially financed by a supporter of Hamas and Hezbollah.
link
September 20, 2007 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you remembering to send care packages to your buddy Abramoff while he's in prison?
September 20, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shaken down any Native Americans lately, Grover?
September 20, 2007 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Godwin's Law, my friend. Please don't take over the thread.
September 20, 2007 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
So Grover shows up with the real piffle. A meaningless comparison of Colorado to the national average.
Okay, Colorado was above average. But in what percentile? How many states outperformed it? Why can't I say that states without TABOR that did better than Colorado outperformed because they didn't have TABOR?
Are you really arguing that TABOR is the only signifigant difference between states and that it explains Colorado's outperformance all by itself? Because, you know, during the time period you're suggesting, a lot of interior, southwestern and sunbelt states did outperform the coasts and the national averages in terms of growth (but that's partly because they started from a low base.)
Oh, one more thing... Colorado has a lot of natural resources. That means energy and commodities. You know, the things that started booming after the 2001 recession. Maybe, just maybe, that had something to do with some of the above average performance?
This is so depressing. I mean here we get a chance to fight Grover Norquist and he just phones it in.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
September 20, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Grover Norquist has been implicated in some of Jack Abramoff's money laundering schemes. As such, he is an unindicted criminal. He is only slightly more trustworthy than GWBush or Karl Rove.
As such, I assume everything he writes is packed with lies unless it is proven otherwise.
September 20, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr. Norquist, thanks for dropping by! I hope I have time to read your arguments and comment on them carefully, but in any case, I very much respect that you came by here -- what is surely hostile territory -- to engage us.
September 20, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr. Norquist:
Now that a Conservative President has in fact drowned government -- though not in a bathtub -- at New Orleans, can you say "Mission Accomplished" for the Conservative Movement?
Or is the best yet to come?
September 20, 2007 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've said my piece(peace?).
Here's something nice I can say about Grover: as far as I know, he's not suspected of being a gay-bashing closet case.
P.S. you *are* aware of the Fresh Air interview, I hope...
September 20, 2007 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Grover --
Have you adjusted your charts for demographics? In other words were Colorado's population's characteristics the same in 1997 as they were in 2004? What, if any, were the effects of in-migration? Changes in the economy -- that is, reductions in farming, ranching, and manufacturing and increases in IT and financial services?
Are we truly comparing apples with apples?
How much of this oil-and-gas state's economic expansion can be attributed to the nearly quadrupling of oil prices between 1998 and 2004?
September 20, 2007 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm shocked that a group that, by its own assertion, has been championing TABOR for the last 15 years would decide that it's been a rousing success.
Seriously, Grover, you can't find anyone with an ounce of credibility to back your argument? Gotta go with advocacy groups that've backed TABOR for a decade and a half?
September 20, 2007 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
[deleted by management]*
*funny, but way over the line.
September 20, 2007 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen is 100% correct; those charts are terribly misleading, and Norquist must know that.
Comparing Colorado's growth to the national average -- on any number of measures -- does not address the issue in the least. Comparing Colorado's growth to a theoretical Colorado in which TABOR did not exist, on the other hand, might be quite telling. There is no meaningful control in this comparison.
Or would he perhaps concede that a chart for Michigan, which would look very similar through the 1990s, would prove that high unionization also leads to higher than average employment and income? Norquist Logic (TM) is fun!
September 20, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quoting the Independence Institute is like quoting yourself, Norquist. It's intellectually dishonest and it's fakey.
In point of fact, TABOR has been a disaster for CO. Of course, from my point of view, it was very successful. It took a reddish state, and made it reliably blue. After Nov 2008, CO will have 2 democratic senators, 2 more democratic HoR members, and will have more state reps and senators who are democratic.
I predict, here and now, that the scumbag Lamport in Colorado Springs and the scumbag Musgrave will both lose.
And TABOR will have a huge amount to do with it. TABOR has demonstrated that, when it's time to act like an adult and actually pay for dinner after eating it, you cannot trust a Repukeliscum. They will invariably try to go out the fire escape to avoid their obligations.
Today's Repukeliscum are all basically teenagers with dad's car, the family credit card and no idea of their responsibilities. How did they get like this?
[deleted by management]
September 20, 2007 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Norquist is and has always been a dishonest and lying diatribist. He is not interested in an honest, reasonable argument, because it will reveal the vacuity of his position. Rather, he just wants to play whack-a-mole argumentation. In this method, the arguer devises some totally insanely stupid argument. You spend your efforts to try to refute it, while the arguer goes off and robs another bank. The only way to refute such arguers is to deny their legitimacy, since they are fundamentally dishonest at their core.
September 20, 2007 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not an economist, but it seems as though the case for causality is pretty weak.
Why do the graphs start at 1992? What was CO's GSP increase relative to the national average before TABOR. If Mr. Norquist's implication that TABOR caused the increase as opposed to some preexisting trajectory, we should see a clear difference in GSP growth before and after TABOR. That's not necessarily a proof of causality, but the case would be made stronger if that were included.
What is CO's median personal income growth and how has that changed before and after TABOR? CO's employment growth like before and after TABOR? Mr. Norquist is implying that TABOR was the cause of this but he hasn't shown that and any academic journal would reject his claim based on this data. He may very well be right, but he has not given any credible evidence here.
September 20, 2007 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
A final comment: Why is it that CO residents have rejected TABOR restrictions across the state?
September 20, 2007 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those charts are simply lies and dishonest totally. He attempts to say that, since CO did better than the national average, TABOR was the reason.
[deleted by management]
There are 100 reasons why this might be, and TABOR is one. It is a dishonest lie to claim that it is the reason, when 99 other things might have been the reason just as much.
[deleted by management]
September 20, 2007 3:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Grover:
When Italia Federici registered your old DC townhouse address as her business address for her fraudulent CREA organization, did she do it with your blessing?
Did you launder money for her?
And just how much of Abramoff's and Ralph Reed's illegal cash did you keep?
September 20, 2007 3:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Independence Institute? That's the best you can do? A bought-and-paid-for astroturf organization?
Not credible. Go back to being irrelevant.
September 20, 2007 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I actually linked to the bio on the off chance that there is another Grover Norquist.
Good God, what are you doing here?!
At any rate, we have to take Mr, Norquist at his word, as some have already alluded to in their posts. Taking a propagandists word is like watching the end of a meat grinder for the filet mignon to come out.
Best wishes, Grover.
/c
In the blogosphere every one is an expert, so no one is an expert.
September 20, 2007 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
What happened to innocent until proven guilty?
September 20, 2007 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
With all due respect, meaning none:
Lies, damned lies and statistics, smug little chipmunk.
September 20, 2007 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
The one comparing progressive taxation with Nazism?
September 20, 2007 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Caldera's "Independence Institute" is a welfare organization designed to pay the bills of those whose lack of talent would go unnoticed otherwise.
Jon should quit, return all of the corporate welfare he's received and try to find a real job like the rest of us.
September 20, 2007 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's cool it with the f-bomb eh folks?
September 20, 2007 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't Grover Norquist used to be a spokesperson for the conservatives?
Well, He has guts. Unless this is a drive-by.
I can't say that his charts make much sense at all, Colorado has gained population, and it isn't clear if that has been accounted for.
If not, this is some kind of joke.
Free Valdron.
CSPAN junkies visit http://spannerbackup.ipbhost.com
September 20, 2007 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would just like everybody to know that TABOR has been very good for me. Now, I've never lived in Colorado but in all the years that Colorado has had TABOR (basically since I got out of college) my earnings have been going up!
I don't know how it is that TABOR has caused this miracle but I don't want it messed up.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
September 20, 2007 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Could Colorado's dramatic population growth be a factor? It ranks third, behind Nevada and just behind Arizona.
Its growth was rather more that twice the national average, 1990-2000, at 30.56% against 13.15%, while its GSP growth was only one point, or 20% higher than the national average.
Since Colorado is showing only 10% above national average for personal income growth, I'd say a reasonable conclusion is that many illegal immigrants are participating in the state economy. The result would be increase in GSP (the largest rise), increase in total jobs reported, and a slight increase in average personal income, with businesses doing better, but the average is weighed down by the trivial immigrant income. Consider, a 31% population increase, but only a 20% GSP increase? And only a 10% personal-income increase?
Correlation is not causation. I am not persuaded that TABOR is solely responsible, or at all, for the numbers. A more likely result is that TABOR is responsible for under-performance since GSP should track population.
September 20, 2007 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, son, you just have to understand that a lot of people see someone like Mr. Norquist, whose outright lies and poor advice has led to a LOT of misery in their fellow citizens, and I'd think most of us just want to hold him accountable--in a small way-- for the evil he's championed, endorsed, and created. We all see it in our friends and relatives and co-workers. Is there anyone tht doesn't know anyone devestated by the turn the Country hs taken?
I must say, however, that I feel this type of crossover attempt by these conservatives is very encouraging, and perhaps we SHOULD try to cool it, but frankly, after two days of Congressional nonsense, by clones of Mr. Norquist here, it's just hard. (As the President is wont to say).
For that I apologize. These right-wing idealogue folks have a lot to answer for, and it's infuriating to hear such weak justifications for so much incompetence.
CSPAN junkies visit http://spannerbackup.ipbhost.com
September 20, 2007 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I looked at population, above. Colorado grew by 31%, 1990-2000. GSP should match that. Less means recession, n'est-ce pas?
September 20, 2007 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is just stupid. Taxes overall are so low that they don't inhibit growth--the only question is whether taxes are high enough on the wealthy to support the investments in people and infrastructure that are necessary to sustainable growth.
For God's sake, look at the economic growth of Taxachusetts using Grover's preferred stat. From TABOR time until the latest data ('97-'06), when Colorado had a 45.9% increase in personal income per capita, Taxachusetts had a 50.4% increase.
And, Taxachusetts started off with a higher base income. So, while the people in Colorado went from 26 grand to just under 39 grand, the people of Massachusetts went from 30 grand to over 45 grand! More growth no matter how you look at it.
Hey, maybe gay marriage causes economic growth! New Jersey, home of civil unions, had personal income growth of 44.5% (from $32k to over $46k), and Vermont, which also had civil unions, grew 48.9% (from $23k to $34k).
I've just proved this point BETTER than Grover proved his "lower taxes on the wealthy and you'll magically generate growth" one.
http://www.nylovesbiz.com/nysdc/Personalincome/stpcpi9706.pdf
September 20, 2007 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
It had an anvil thrown to it. Then it was castrated.
sPh
September 20, 2007 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
.> [deleted by management]*
I am really curious about all this 'deleting by management'. Grover Norquist is the person who has publicly advocated that all Democratic politicians should be castrated, and who only stopped talking about "drowning government in a bathtub" /after/ Katrina. What exactly are regular posters saying here that warrants deletion by management rather than TU ratings?
sPh
September 20, 2007 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Very impressive, leading with a quote from the Independence Institute, purportedly a 'non-partisan, non-ideological think tank,' yet whose continued existence is funded by messers. Coors, Koch and Scaife Mellon, thus adding an ironic twist to their very name.
The Institute has also come out against unions, claiming that non-union workers make more than union workers, which was subsequently debunked in about two seconds.
By the way, Grover, how are your friends Jack Abramoff, Ralph Reed, David Safavian and Tom DeLay doing lately? What is the status of the Choctaw stuff? Does your budget have a hole that needs filling?
Judge a man by the company he keeps, as they say...
September 20, 2007 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think this is the first time I have EVER rated, but there is no way this deserves a trollish score. It may be OT, but if we're going to down-rate for that, the collective karma around here will look like Mario Mendoza's batting average. (Inside joke for aging Pirate fans.)
Andrew, don't you have something productive to do? Every time you intrude in a debate you embarrass yourself. Every time someone invokes Godwin and declares victory, I wonder why he/she didn't also declare him/herself Emperor of Sheboygan.
September 20, 2007 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the Washington Post:
Lots of other interesting Norquist quotes and information here..
sPh
September 20, 2007 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's cool it with the imperious interference with a debate, eh Andrew?
September 20, 2007 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's good to be deleted. Especially with the footnote.
But the essential point remains. Mr. Norquist has celebrated incivility and inflammatory language, he's made partisanship a byword, integrity an easily dispensed with option, and hyperbole a way of life.
Why should he be entitled to anything but the same? If a man spends a good part of his life boasting of his own 'nasty partisanship', who compares estate taxes to the holocaust, who uses drowning children in a bathtub as a metaphor, who muses on the resemblance of democrats to castrated farm animals... what are we to do?
Andrew Golis, a civil and civilized man would have us give Mr. Norquist a sober and serious welcome. He would have us offer Mr. Norquist a reasoned dialogue in those rare moments when Norquist benignly ejaculates his pearls upon those who he so frequently bares his contempt for.
I freely admit that Mr. Golis is a better man than I or Mr. Norquist. Mr. Golis is an asset to us all, and we could do well by turning to his counsel on most occasions.
But sadly, this is not one of those occasions. For while Mr. Golis is a civilized man, Mr. Norquist, by his history, is quite self-evidently not a civilized man.
Now it may be that he was never a civilized man, and is therefore a thug. It may be that he was once a civilized man, but shucked those trappings, and is now a crook. But either way, he is not a civil or civilized man, and by his nature can have only contempt for those trappings we hold so dear.
I confess that I myself was once not a civil or civilized man, and the few shreds of civility I have managed to wrap around myself are hard won and greatly prized. My admiration for those, such as Mr. Golis, to whom these gifts are natural, is quite unbounded.
But trust me, I know how to talk to uncivilized men in a way that Mr. Golis does not.
What compelling reason is there to give Grover Norquist a moment's reflective consideration?
Absolutely none. A reasoned debate with Norquist is simply an invitation to allow a malicious child to pee in a swimming pool. I will not have it.
There is no merit or reward to a conversation with Mr. Norquist, nor any worth in examining his thoughts or ideas. This is not my verdict. These are Mr. Norquist's choices, and he has embraced them with gusto.
It would be doing us all a disservice if we gave his views a moments consideration.
Mr. Norquist uses the language of invective, of hyperbole, of emotional rhetoric, exageration to carry a freight devoid of reason or semantic content.
To say to and of him:
Is merely to speak the language of Grover Norquist himself, to speak in a way that he understands and appreciates. To speak the only language that he willingly understands, or can respect. For he will not respect reason or dialogue, except as weaknesses to be attacked.
Mr. Golis has said it is funny, and I thank him for the compliment.
He's also said it's way over the line. To which I reply: "Not at all, it is exactly within the lines that Mr. Norquist has established, and exactly the place where he lives."
Why, I'll half wager he might wish he thought of it himself, and there's a small chance he'll venture to steal it in order to some day apply it to some enemy.
September 20, 2007 4:36 PM | Reply | Permalink